In a rare instance, we may benefit from fading the Nets be that they are not subjected to the lofty point spreads we are accustomed to seeing accompany their name. The bottom line is the Nets with points seems like a dubious proposition given how these two teams fared in their last meeting. When you factor in the home court advantage to Brooklyn, it looks like easy money. Such a proposition is bound to create an overreaction.

The fact remains that Brooklyn is one of the worst teams in the NBA and this market is also designed to entice action on the Nets. This time the hook has worked, and now we have an opportunity to take advantage of a short-priced favorite. Hornets outright get the call.

We have targeted Toronto before by virtue of the fact that the quality in the two teams is generating the price in this market. Toronto is one of the best teams in the East while Orlando is one of the worst. As a result, you will get enhanced points to back the Magic here and pay a premium to support Toronto. The bottom line is simple, double-digit points are hard to cover in any NBA contest, and there are a plethora of reasons why. The fact remains, Toronto is more dangerous at home than they are on the road. The market is reluctant to believe that the Raps can cover this line again thus why the offering is nearly identical to the last meeting. We’ll take advantage.

The Warriors have won the first three meetings in this season’s series SU while going 2-1 ATS, but their current injury situation heavily discounts this previous success. Beating Phoenix on the road without your top three players is one thing. Going into San Antonio to face a Spurs’ team in desperate need of wins is a whole other ball game. Lay the points on the home team and take San Antonio both SU and ATS.

When you back Cleveland you can expect to pay a premium. When they are at home, this is, even more, the case even if the team they are playing has the full capability to beat them on their home court. This Cleveland bunch is not as impervious to home upsets like they have been previously. We have seen Cleveland falter several times outright spotting more points to visitors. Milwaukee has an aptitude toward playing up to elite competition, and you can rest assured that the Deers are primed for this contest given how they fared in their most recent endeavor against this squad three months ago. Though Cleveland may be the better team on paper, the market has made it clear that this fixture could be a bump in the road for King James and company on their home court. We’ll go ahead and take Milwaukee outright with the upset.

There are many factors here that make Atlanta a savory play. First off, as we have championed previously covering a double-digit point total in an NBA game is hard to task given the quality of opposition in this league. Milwaukee has struggled to cover two double-digit point lines the last time we saw them in such a position. Given the fact they just fell outright as a heavy favorite in their most recent excursion, there is no reason to spot points with them here. Nevertheless, Atlanta is a tough sell to many because they have won just five games on the road this year. Furthermore, the Hawks are in poor form as of late. The only way action can be garnered on the Birds is if the point spread is inflated to enchant takers. We will step in and take advantage of a high number and cash in on the generous points.

Generally speaking, laying lumber is an ill-advised practice. This is undoubtedly the case when the two teams in question are far contrasting regarding quality. However, we have an opportunity here to get the better team at a better price. Philadelphia was initially asked to lay double-digit points to their rivals from New York. However, early action in this market has driven that price down. This is where we step in. If the Nets play anything remotely close to what we saw on March 11th, this should be an easy cover for Philadelphia. The Nets do not play well on the road, and they have not been playing well overall, as of late. Swallow the points.

There was once a team that you had to pay to back the Knicks at home. Madison Square Garden is one of the most recognized venues in the world. The Knicks have used this place to their advantage, and that is why they have won 66% of the games on the year in New York. On the contrary, Philly has had their woes on the road. Given the rivalry element of this game, it would be ludicrous to spot such lumber to New York. However, Philly is a playoff team. New York has shown they are apparently not. As a result, we get the opportunity to take back an inflated number here and fade a clear-cut overlay by the general public.

The Lakers are playing their best ball of the season with the current lineup performing exceptionally well together following a shake-up at the trade deadline. They are still playing Golden State on the road, so reality may set in as to just how wide the gap is between the two division foes still is even with Curry on the shelf. I am still taking Los Angeles to cover ATS in a game that should also go OVER the current total line.

The last time these two teams met overtime was required to determine a winner. The away team has won the previous two meetings so in essence home court advantage is out the window. The fact that Boston is coming in with a less ugly loss is what is likely selling this market. There is always the popular opinion is that there is no chance Washington gets out of Boston alive with a win given the fact that they were pummeled on the road in their last endeavor. In this instance, we will have to side with the public. The Celtics own advantages in the defense department, are the more physical team on the boards and commit fewer turnovers compared to their opponents. When you toss in the magnitude of this affair with the energy of the TD Garden there to support Boston, the Celtics should cover here with a convincing win.

Very simply, the quality of the two teams is generating the price in this market. Toronto is one of the best teams in the East while Brooklyn is one of the worst. As a result, you will get enhanced points to back the Nets here and pay a premium to support Toronto. What this scenario creates is a significant chance for an overlay and given how Toronto enters on a big winning streak, an excellent opportunity for an overreaction. The fact remains Brooklyn knows it can hang with this team as indicated by their last encounter. Motivation will be at a premium for the Nets. Take the points.

Miami continues to play exceptionally well on its home court, but winning games on the road has been a different story. It has lost its last seven road games SU while posting a profitable 5-1-1 record ATS. I am going with Portland SU, but I still think the Heat should be able to keep this game close enough to cover with the points as each team steps things up on defense. Bettors are facing a higher than expected total line of 208.5 points making the ‘best bet’ pick the UNDER.

To many, taking any team against the Sixers with points seems like a viable option. When most of the public has smothered the Sixers, it raises a red flag given their road record on the year. The Sixers are 15-19 SU on the road this year while Brooklyn is just 11-20 SU at home. However, these narratives are reflected in the price. As we have seen previously, this a somewhat dangerous endeavor for a team of like the Sixers.

Nevertheless, Brooklyn is one of the worst teams in the NBA, and this market is also designed to entice action on the Nets. So far it hasn't worked all too well, but all that does is set us up to snag some value on a likely inflated number. Grab the points.

First off, a double-digit point cushion is hard to overcome in any NBA market. Whether it be the case of a live dog or a route with backdoor potential, this amount of lumber is often the cause of many ripped tickets for overzealous backers. This in itself makes Milwaukee a dangerous play.

Moreover, the fact the Knicks have been in poor form as of late combined with their troubles on the road only enhances this number for Milwaukee takers. In the last three road losses for New York, the margins of defeat were 14, 3, and then 23 at the Clippers. However, when looking at the numbers, these opponents simply outshot the Knicks at exceptional levels. Against Portland, the Blazers hit the same amount of field goals on two fewer attempts. Against LA, the Knicks missed nine more shots on the same amount of tries compared to the Clippers. Primarily, these were three-pointers. Milwaukee ranks 24th in the league in dishing the trey (35.1%), so chances are the Knicks will have plenty of opportunities to stay in this game and come in under the number.

Cleveland is coming off a win and a day off, but this remains one of the most terrible teams to figure out no matter which players are on the court. The Cavaliers just lost to Denver at home as part of this two-game series as favorites. With Denver playing back-to-back nights and coming off a bad loss, I am going to tempt fate by going with Cleveland both SU and ATS on the road this time around.

Though Milwaukee has had some troubles as of late, let’s not forget this is a team that can play at a much higher level when they are at home in the Bradley Center. However, the impressive form of Houston makes the Rockets a tough team to fade and a general public choice. Nevertheless, their success is enforcing premiums upon all takers.

As a result of this, there is an excellent chance that Milwaukee is getting more points than it needs to cover here. The favorable line view is the case given their form as of late. The discussion will undoubtedly be the talent on Houston's depth chart. The question is how this Bucks team can match up with them? Milwaukee has some guns in their arsenal. Most notably, “The Greek Freak” Giannis Antetkuonmpo who sits on a short list of best players in the league. Combined with Eric Bledsoe, the Bucks have plenty of firepower to come in under what is a likely lofty number. We will fade the overlay here and take the points.

Once again, we are going to go forth and target Philadelphia who has no business to be spotting any lumber on the road. This was proven just two nights ago when the Sixers were positioned at a similar price when they traveled to Milwaukee. Charlotte is very much like Milwaukee in their approach to the game. They play at a higher level at home and once again that puts Philly in peril. The low-hanging fruit would suggest yet another upset could be on the horizon. Charlotte on the Money Line gets the call.

Something has to give in this one with both teams riding an impressive winning streak. Portland is the better all-around team, and it already has a 2-0 SU edge in the season series, but Los Angeles has covered in its last nine games at home. Betting the total line on each team this season shows a slight edge favoring the OVER and I have Monday night’s scoreboard adding up to a few more points than the current 224-point total line for this game.

Now normally, we would urge takers to stay clear of Cleveland given the premiums they are bound to inflict upon punters. However, the fact that Detroit is offered at a delicious price to the public eye causes us to lean the other way. When the number looks too good, it usually is, and this means Cleveland is in position to win and generate a cover while doing so.

In some cases, home court advantage can play a pivotal role in the outcome of a game. This is the case with Milwaukee as they are known as a team that plays at a higher level at home. The Bucks don the slogan "Fear The Deer," and this is an appropriate advisory for any team that travels up to them. When you are dealing with a team that has a losing record on the road, the price here is a must-play. Thus we swap the point and play Milwaukee on the Money Line.

As we have said before, anytime you back the Warriors, you can expect to pay a hefty premium to do so. This is especially the case when the NBA's best team is facing off with one of the worst teams in the league. However, there are many reasons to back Atlanta. First, we get reduced juice to take a massive set of lumber. That in itself bodes value albeit we are risking less to make more and are likely given extra points to work with. However, Atlanta also has a thing for playing up to elite teams. This is the same outfit that defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers on the road earlier this season. Grab the points.