Factors involved in our Championship Game Prediction:

- Defensive efficiency metrics support ceiling of 41
- Pace factors indicate max 22 combined possessions
- Championship pressure historically reduces scoring by 13.2%

The Hawkeyes shut down the Badgers and get the spread and point spread cover.

With Nevada’s ability to exploit Hawai'i’s defensive vulnerabilities, especially in rushing and red-zone situations, expect the Wolf Pack to cover the spread in Honolulu. This game’s low-scoring trends and conservative offense further support the under on the 43.5 total.

I know Florida State is going to want to send a message following a disappointing rejection from the college football playoffs however they are going to struggle in this match-up especially without key personnel. However, I do believe the defense will play well and with intensity. I’m expecting a really low scoring 1st half and will take the under on the overall number.

Bowl games are often about motivation. Who's happy to be here? And who probably wishes they were somewhere else? Missouri would love to finish a fine season with a bowl win over a program like Ohio State. Meanwhile, the Buckeyes probably wish they were playing in the Rose Bowl on New Year's Day. The Tigers can run the ball, they play defense, and we liked their performance against Georgia back in November. Also, the SEC's been good against the Big 10 over recent bowls. We like Mizzou to take this Cotton Bowl.

The Tar Heels won only one true road game this season, and that was over the lowly Panthers back in September. They did get the win in their season opener, beating the Gamecocks on a neutral field. UNC has lost their last three on the road. Correcting that trend may be difficult with their starting QB Drake Maye skipping the game WR Conner Harrell, top WR Tez Walker, and top TE Bryson Nesbit out.

The WVU comes in relatively healthy. They’ll be missing their leading yardage RB CJ Donaldson Jr., but Jahiem White has taken over as the No. 1 back and looks like a potential star, averaging 8.2 yards per carry. The Mountaineers didn’t beat all that much this season, but in two of their losses, they played tough. They were tied with Oklahoma State until halfway through the 4th, and they lost to Houston on the last play of the game.

The matchup leans slightly in favor of UCF, primarily due to their defensive fortitude and consistent offense. Georgia Tech's recent offensive struggles could be pivotal. Expect a competitive game, but UCF's balanced approach might prove decisive.

These teams are very equal, but the best unit on the field Saturday might be the Navy run defense, which limited opponents to 122 yards per game on the ground this season. Also, we make the Midshipmen good candidates for a bounce-back effort here after getting stomped their last time out against SMU. Also, while Army beat Air Force and Navy lost to the Falcons, that Knights victory was a bit fluke-ish, considering Air Force turned the ball over six times. The underdog’s enjoying a good run in this rivalry recently, and we’ll ride it with the Midshipmen for the win Saturday.

While Michigan is the favorite, Iowa's defensive prowess and recent form suggest they have a strong chance to cover the spread. The game is likely to be a defensive battle, with Iowa's ability to keep games close being a critical factor.

Georgia owns statistical advantages on both sides of the ball, especially offensively. The Bulldogs have also performed better vs. common opponents. Also, Alabama just extended itself to the very end last week against Auburn, an effort that had to be draining both physically and emotionally. Which, in our mind, makes the Tide decent candidates for a letdown this week. We like Georgia to take this SEC championship game on Saturday, minus the points.

Liberty owns statistical edges on both sides of the ball, but to us, they’re not large enough to warrant a double-digit spread. Also, while the Flames won this match-up earlier this season, New Mexico State is better right now than it was that night. We’re not calling for the outright upset here, but we like the Aggies plus the points.

Given Wisconsin's statistical advantages and better performance against common opponents, and considering the matchup is on the road, we favor Wisconsin to cover the spread in what is expected to be a closely contested game.

Considering Oregon's recent form and statistical advantages, coupled with Oregon State's challenging game against Washington, the Ducks appear to have the upper hand. While a blowout is not anticipated, we lean towards giving the points and backing Oregon in Friday night's game.

This matchup between the North Carolina Tar Heels and Clemson Tigers is set to be a showcase of tactical prowess and talent. With UNC's impressive offensive record and Clemson's home-field advantage, bettors are in for a challenging but potentially rewarding game. The key will be whether UNC's high-scoring offense can overcome Clemson's solid defense, making them a tempting pick against the spread.

Georgia is coming off perhaps its best performance of this season, Tennessee its worst. Also, the Bulldogs own a much better performance against common opponents. Also, Georgia won this match-up last season by two touchdowns, and while it might not seem like it they might be better right now than they were that day. Meanwhile, the Vols are not as good right now as they were last season. Finally, playing on the road keeps the spread just a little friendlier. We’re betting on the Bulldogs on Saturday, minus the points.

As mentioned, the Scarlett Knights have struggled to put up puts against a high-level defense, amassing seven versus Michigan, 13 vs. Wisconsin, 16 versus Ohio State, and zero against Iowa. The Nittany Lions have many top-30 defensive rankings and are top five in total yards, yards a play, rush yards, and yards per rush. Take the Under

Handicappers should consider Indiana's offensive capabilities against their defensive flaws, and Michigan State's overall performance struggles. The total points over appears to be a promising bet, with Indiana's ability to cover the spread hinging on their defense's performance.

Boston College was playing winning football until last week. Perhaps the Eagles are primed for a rebound effort this week. Pitt, meanwhile, just cant seem to get out of its own way. Also, the Eagles own the better running game and the better performance against common opponents. Were betting BC Thursday night.

While it may be popular to root against Michigan, betting on them is a different story. The Wolverines are relentlessly defeating opponents and have embraced an "us against the world" mentality. Having won decisively in last season's matchup and showing improvement, they're poised for success again. The fact that this game is on the road also makes the spread more appealing. Our pick is on the Wolverines to cover on Saturday.

This Week 11 matchup between Texas Tech and Kansas is shaping up to be an offensive showcase. With both teams featuring potent offenses and less-than-stellar defenses, the Over on total points seems like a tempting bet. Furthermore, Kansas's consistent home performance and their ability to exploit Texas Tech's defensive woes offer strong reasons to back the Jayhawks to cover the spread.