Virginia Tech has lost three games this season by six points or less and could have won two of those. A few plays here and there and the Hokies might be 6-2. Boston College, meanwhile, has just one win over a Power 5 team and has scored a total of 40 points over its last four games. Also, the Eagles are a bit banged-up, relegated to playing their second- and third-string quarterbacks. We’re betting Virginia Tech here, minus the points.      

These teams played a three-point game last season, and they're both very similar to what they were that day. Also, Georgia State is out-rushing opponents by 54 yards per game this season, while Louisiana-Lafayette is out-grounding foes by 55 YPG. And it just seems the Cajuns are favored by a bit too much too often. So we're taking the Panthers plus the points here.

This match-up is basically Florida's rushing offense against Georgia's run defense. As a result, I am going to take Georgia every time in that match-up

We just see Michigan as the better team here, especially on defense, playing on the road, where spreads tend to be friendlier. Also, while we don't consider revenge a totally reliable handicapping factor, it might come into play here, following that shocking Wolverines home loss last season. So we're betting Michigan, minus the points.   

Tulsa's the better team here, talent-wise, and should win this game outright. The Hurricane are also working off a bye week. Meanwhile, Navy put up a big effort last week and might be ripe for a letdown. We're taking Tulsa here, minus the points. 

These two teams have played one common opponent so far this season; Coastal Carolina bombed  Louisiana-Monroe 59-6 while Troy lost to the Warhawks 29-16. Also, after losing last week to App State, we expect a bounce-back effort from the Chanticleers this week. So while the line on this game is probably inflated by three points or so, with CCU playing at home, we're giving the points with the favorite.  

Keep an eye on Hooker's status. If he is sidelined as many expect, fire away with Alabama -25.5.

Purdue caught Iowa at a perfect time last week, ripe for a letdown. Now the Boilers qualify as perfect candidates to do the same. Wisconsin, if it’s got its shit together, is just the better team here, with our preferred style of play; run the ball, keep the ball away from the Purdue passing game and play great defense. We’re betting Bucky, minus the points.

Despite its troubles, Washington is just the much better team in this match-up, and while it's not exactly getting great play at quarterback Arizona is down to a freshman third-stringer behind center. Also, the Huskies are actually still in the race in the Pac-12 North while the Wildcats are still going through growing pains under the new coaching regime. So while we don't like going along with the public betting flow, we're giving the points here with Washington.

Army is 4-1 but hasn't played anybody. Then again, the Black Knights own a decent recent track record against Power 5 opponents, and they're hard to prepare for, running that triple option. Meanwhile, Wisconsin got back to its roots last week, running the ball, playing defense, but then against that came against Illinois. The Badgers are just missing something this season (cough, quarterback), and we won't be surprised if they keep this game interesting. Plus, we never mind betting against the public flow. We're not calling for the outright upset here, but we're taking Ar-my plus the points.  Army is 4-1 but hasn't played anybody. Then again, the Black Knights own a decent recent track record against Power 5 opponents, and they're hard to prepare for, running that triple option. Meanwhile, Wisconsin got back to its roots last week, running the ball, playing defense, but then against that came against Illinois. The Badgers are just missing something this season (cough, quarterback), and we won't be surprised if they keep this game interesting. Plus, we never mind betting against the public flow. We're not calling for the outright upset here, but we're taking Army plus the points.

I like the Bulldogs and the points here. I would also encourage bettors to look at the over 58.5 as I believe both offenses will create some fireworks!

Clemson is a disappointment so far this season, struggling offensively after losing a bunch of critical people from last season. Plus, they're banged up. The CFP looks like a long shot. Syra-cuse, meanwhile, is 3-3 with a pair of three-point defeats. The Tigers won this match-up last year by 26 points and 130 yards, but this Clemson team isn't as good as that one was, while the Or-ange are improved. Finally, the Tigers have already been favored by too much three times this season. We like the Orange plus the points here. 

Appalachian State has out-gained and out-rushed four of its five opponents this season while Louisiana has been out-gained by four of its five opponents and out-rushed by three of its five foes. Also, the Mountaineers nearly beat Miami while the Cajuns lost rather soundly to Texas. Heck, Louisiana shoulda lost to South Alabama last week. And while UL-L won this match-up last season they actually got out-played. We’ll take App State here, playing on the road, where spreads are friendlier.   

These two defenses are pretty darn close, but we give Penn State the edge on offense, averaging almost 100 yards more per game. Also, against their only common opponent so far this season, the Nittany Lions out-gained Indiana by 144 yards while Iowa out-gained the Hoosiers by 70 yards. And while we don't consider revenge a reliable handicapping factor, it might come into play here. We like Penn State to win this one outright.   

I believe that the Dawgs' defense stands out here and that has me laying the points.

These teams have played one common opponent so far this season; Arizona State beat UCLA 42-23 while Stanford lost to the Bruins 35-24. And total yardage basically reflected those scores. Also, we consider Stanford a candidate for a letdown this week, after upsetting Oregon last week, plus the Cardinal are a little banged up. We’re siding with the Sun Devils here, minus the points. 

We try not to let one or two performances lead us to leaps in judgment, but Michigan's win over Washington impressed us, while Wisconsin's performances against Penn State and Notre Dame did not. The Badgers are fine defensively but a total mess on offense. Plus, they sure seem to be mistake-prone. Until Wisconsin starts running the ball again and getting better play at QB, we're fading. We'll take the Wolverines here.  

The problem is that Georgia's rushing attack is not at the elite level we have seen in previous years. The Bulldogs have produced just 709 yards on the ground through the first four games, and tailback Zamir White leads the team with a modest 207 yards. Despite the public's perception, this Bulldogs offense is not very frightening without the help of their defense. Meanwhile, Arkansas' defense is very underrated. The Razorbacks have a bend but don't break style against the run and match-up well against Georgia's passing attack. Simply put, this is a match-up that can be won by the Arkansas' defense. Therefore, I will gladly take the 18 points and take my chances that the Arkansas' offense finds a few ways to create scoring opportunities. There is simply too much value in the underdog to ignore!

BYU is the better team here and deservedly favored, but the Cougars haven't exactly been beating up on the Mountain West over recent seasons. Meanwhile, Utah State returned a whole bunch of starters this season, and while it had a lot of things go wrong last week against Boise State, we expect better football luck this week. We like the Aggies plus the points here.  

Miami is the better team here, even without its starting quarterback. And the uncertainty at that spot keeps the line on this game down. We’re giving the points here with the Hurricanes.