Both teams play solid defense at home sand on the road, but VCU has a big edge in offensive shooting at home. The Rams have shot an impressive 50.3% from the field and have averaged 81.4 points per game at the Siegel Center this season. VCU has dominated their competition at home with a scoring margin of just under 20 points per game and I'll call for them to extend the margin enough tonight to get the point spread cover.

Oakland is battle tested for sure and could run away with this, but they're only 5-3 straight up in the conference including 2-2 at home, so I'll stay away from a side bet on this game. In Horizon League play both teams have kept near their seasonal scoring average, but in recent games each team's defense has fallen off. The recent trend in this series is to the OVER and that's where my money is going to land on tonight's game.

Iona is the public play here and to their credit they do have a positive record going 13-8 on the year, but they've won just three of their nine road games this season. Sieena has lost just one game at home at that came against an underrated Vermont team. They've gone 4-0 at home in the Metro Atlantic Conference and while they're a mediocre 2-2 versus the spread in those games the line is so low in this game that it is unlikely to be a factor.

The Crimson are undefeated straight up and against the spread in two Ivy League games with both coming against Dartmouth. Harvard has lost just once in their last 10 games and are on a six game point spread covering streak. Big Red is a poor 5-12 this season, but in all fairness I must note that their schedule arguably has been more challenging than the Crimson. Cornell however has registered just one win in a lined game. Harvard has a positive record on the road going 4-2 and they're 3-0-1 against the spread in the lined games covering the spread in three straight. I was hoping for a better line on this game, but i believe there is still value in playing the visitor.

The Ducks are on a mighty roll winning 14 straight after a poor 2-2 start to the season. The Utes are also playing good ball with 7 wins in their last 9 games and are a very respectable 5-2 in their conference. They're on a nice point spread run getting the cover in 5 straight games and going 6-0-1 in Pacific-12 matches. One negative is apparent though. Utah has lost every game against a top flight opponent this season and Oregon fits that bill.

strength is their defense allowing just 64.1 points per game and and even better 60.7 PPG in conference play.UAB should be highly motivated for this game after a dismal performance against mediocre FIU in their latest. A key part in the upset was starting guard Hakeem Baxter being taken out of the game with a knee injury after just 5 minutes of play. I expect him back for this game to secure a defense that has been lights out at home holding the opposition to a 37.5 FG%.

Indiana have played only three true road games compiling an unimpressive 1-2 mark straight up and 0-2-1 against the spread mark. That said they were competitive in all three games with one loss coming in overtime to IUPU - Ft. Wayne and the other by three to Maryland. The problem tonight is that they may be without two of their forwards. The Hoosiers OG Anunoby (Knee) has been lost for the season and Juwan Morgan (Foot) has missed the last two games and is questionable to return.The Wolverines haven't been all that successful in their conference going 3-4 against Big Ten teams, but are 2-1 at home. Overall at home Michigan has outscored the opposition by 14 points and may be able to extend the margin tonight.

Whilst Campbell has the more appealing numbers in points per game, field goal percentage and three-point field goal efficiency, these accolades were bolstered against far weaker competition out-of-conference than Radford. Radford has played one of the toughest schedules in America outside of the Big South and yet they boast the better defense and bench while being more effective on the boards. The question here is not whether Radford will win but by how much. Given the low visibility of this game on the public’s radar, this market is all the more prone to be terribly off. Radford could easily be overmatched here as the host. In previous encounters between both squads on Radford’s court, the Highlanders have taken down the Camels by no less than 12 points. When it is factored in to the equation that the Highlanders have won the previous four fixtures against the Fighting Camels, there are so many intangibles that are not visible to the naked eye here which can play a determining factor in the outcome of this affair. Radford has beaten the Big South’s best already this season as they own wins against UNC-Asheville and an impressive road defeat of the current table-topper Winthrop. Look for the difference in quality of competition to be the litmus test here in this first time offering for either team in the 2016-17 season. We will gladly spot the points here.

Xavier had dropped three straight before knocking off Georgetown in their latest. The three losses came against three very strong clubs Creighton at home and Butler and Villanova on the road. What is concerning from a betting perspective is the points margin in the two Musketeer road losses, losing by 10 to Butler and 25 to Villanova. Cincinnati certainly hasn't been padding their backers pockets in recent games, with a 1-3 ATS record in their last four. However, they do play exceptional defense at home which gives them a huge edge over Xaviers' porous unit. The spread lands in an acceptable range needing a two baskets advantage to get the push.

Minnesota is coming off of a strong game against a very good Wisconsin drawing with them through regulation only to fall by two points in overtime. They’ve battled in every road game this season excluding a game three back against Michigan State beating Northwestern and Purdue and dropping a two point decision to Penn State. Ohio State has lost five of seven games against Big Ten foes and did lose by 10 in Minnesota to the Gophers on January 6th. I’ll take the live road dog in this spot.

Earlier this season we laid San Diego State on the road and took the points with Loyola-Illinois. We were delighted when not only did they cover but they won outright. Now we have a chance again to take back some likely inflated points with a quality team. Air Force accumulates more points per game than San Diego State, while also boasting the fact they are the better three-point shooting team and more efficient in field goal percentage. Additionally, the Falcons are stronger in rebounding compared to the Aztecs. While San Diego State authors some of the best defensive numbers in the country in total points and field goal percentage, the Aztecs have had let-downs. To illustrate some of SDSU’s road troubles and why they cannot be trusted spotting points while they are the away team, this is an outfit that lost outright at Grand Canyon. On average, San Diego State gives up 62.3 points per game yet Grand Canyon put up 76 on them. Bottom line, the Aztecs have had too many hiccups away from home to trust as an option in any capacity let alone spot points. Air Force has one of their better teams in recent years and San Diego State seems to have taken a bit of a step back. This is quality opportunity for the Falcons to bolster their home court advantage and perhaps pull off an upset.

Normally I’d fade a team coming off a big upset win, but Marquette is a very strong home team dropping just one of their home matches this season. They shoot extremely well at the BMO Harris Bradley Center scoring an average of 87.2 points per game with a 51.8 FG% while playing decent defense allowing 68.8 PPG on 41.3 FG%. Villanova could extend the margin here, but I’ll bank on the home side staying within the number tonight.

Two of the more dangerous teams tip off tonight making a forecast of an against the spread winner a coin flip. That leads me to the total on this game. This will come down to who can control the speed of the game and I think that the Irish do that here. With both teams shooting abilities if they can get in the mid 50’s in shot opportunities which I think they can this will easily surpass the posted total line.

The Jayhawks scoring and shooting drops off significantly on the road with Kansas scoring 7 points less per game and nearly 5% less from the field. WVU has put up 94.4 points per game at home, but that total was skewed by four games in which they exceeded 100 points in three unlined games and one as -29 point spread favorite. The two clubs both defend the three well making the betting value in this game on the total.

The Spartans are just 4-3 in Big Ten play but they are 3-0 at home against the conference. They seem like a completely different team at home playing great defense holding the three Big 10 teams to a combined average of 54.66 points. Purdue hasn’t been impressive on the road going 1-2 with their lone victory by one point over Ohio State and remain winless against the spread. I’ll side with the small home dog in this match.

The Longhorns have been padding bankrolls in recent weeks going 6-1 versus the betting line, but they haven’t been put together many wins losing six of those seven games. Oklahoma has been playing much better as of late with a money making 4-1-1 over their last six games. The Sooners come into this game on a confidence building three game run where they beat Texas Tech at home and WVU on the road before losing to a good Iowa State team in overtime. They are 1-3 straight on the road, but their opponents were all superior to Texas.

Neither club plays much defense, but Troy has the edge offensively and has been very competitive all season. Troy has lost six of their last ten, but four were by four or fewer and the other two by five and six points. Arkansas-Little Rock has won just three of their last eight games and is 1-2 in their last four home games. They may also be without Forward Lis Shoshi who has missed the last two and is listed as questionable for tonight’s game.

The Broncs are very comfortable on the road with a dozen true road games this season going a respectable 6-6 straight up. St. Peter’s is 3-2 over their last five home games, but only 2-3 versus the point spread line. They’ve shot an extremely poor 39.8% from the field but have gotten it done from 3-point land shooting a respectable 36.3%. Rider defends the three well allowing 29.9% in this role and they’re my play here.

The Horned Frogs have dropped back to back games and haven’t impressed in conference play going 3-4 over the seven games. Cowboys have been even worse, losing six straight before getting victory in their latest over Texas Tech. That could signal a turnaround, but I’ll stay on the sidelines as far as making a point spread play. Instead I’ll pace my action on a total side. Last season both games went under the total and that’s where this one should land. TCU has scored 70 or fewer points in five of their seven Big 12 games, but they do play decent defense allowing 70 points per game on the road this season. Defense isn’t a strength of Oklahoma State allowing 80.9 points per game and while they averaged 95.5 at home this season, in conference games they number has fallen significantly.

I normally wouldn’t lay a number this high, but the Sun Devils have allowed opponents to shoot 52% from the field and all three of their road losses have been by 16 or more points.