Baylor Bears at Ole Miss Rebels NCAAB Pick - Odds - Point Spread Prediction

Baylor Bears at Ole Miss Rebels NCAAB Pick - Odds - Point Spread Prediction

Cliff Knox
Date: January 28, 6:00 pm
Location: The Pavilion at Ole Miss
TV: ESPN2

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Baylor -7.5
Total: 140.5

<p>
The Ole Miss Rebels host the 6th ranked Baylor Bears in a SEC / Big 12 Challenge game that will take place at The Pavilion at Ole Miss in Oxford, Mississippi at 6 PM ET. Baylor has won 19 of their 20 games on the season and they have covered the spread in nine of the 15 games that have had a posted line. Ole Miss has won 12 of their 20 games this season and they have an ATS record of 10-9-1 in those games.
</p>
<p>
Baylor is coming off a 65-61 win over Texas Tech in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as an 8.5-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 126, which was under the closing line of 130.5. The Bears have failed to cover the spread in two of their last three games and in their last two games the total has gone under while in the previous three games the total had gone over. Overall, Baylor has won four straight games since suffering their only loss of the season against a ranked West Virginia team.
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<p>
Ole Miss is coming off an 80-76 loss to Texas A&M where they failed to cover the spread as a 2-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 156, which was over the closing line of 139. The Rebels have an ATS record of 1-2-1 in their last four games and in their last two games the total has gone over while in their previous three games the total had gone under. Ole Miss had won two straight games before their loss to Texas A&M.
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<p>
Offensively, Baylor is putting up 75.2 points per game on a 47.4% FG average. On defense the Bears are allowing 60.5 points per game, which ranks 5th in the nation, on a 38.1% FG average, which ranks 8th in the nation.
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<p>
Ole Miss is putting up 76.7 points per game on a 42.8% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Rebels are allowing 75.9 points per game on a 41.8% FG average.
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<p>
These teams have not met since the 1970 season.
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<h2>
Baylor Bears at Ole Miss Rebels Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Baylor is 2-5 against the spread in their last 7 games overall.
</li>
<li>
The Bears are 10-1 against the spread in their last 11 road games.
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<li>
The game total has gone under in 6 of Baylor’s last 8 road games.
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<li>
Mississippi is 5-10 against the spread in their last 15 home games.
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<li>
The Rebels are 15-5 straight up in their last 20 home games.
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</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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<p>
In this NCAAB matchup between Baylor and Ole Miss see the public leaning slightly to the visiting Baylor Bears minus the 7.5 points with over 60%. The over/under bettors are convinced this game will go over the posted total line of 140.5 with over 80% on board.
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Baylor Bears at Ole Miss Rebels Prediction

I'm going to go with the public lean in this game. Baylor has one loss on the season and that came against West Virginia on the road a team that I believe is far superior to Mississippi. The Rebels are a poot 8-4 at home this season, losing three of their four games in conference play and while Baylor isn't in their conference they come from the Big 12 that in most handicappers would agree is a step up from the SEC. I'll lay the points on the visitor in this spot who should be able to extend the margin.

Free Pick: Take the Baylor Bears -7
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