NHL MATCHUP REPORT

March 8, 2026, 6:00 | KeyBank Center

Tampa Bay Lightning (38-17-4) VS Buffalo Sabres (36-19-6)

ODDS

Bet365
5Dimes
BOL
bodog
pin
Moneyline




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SMART CHART

TB
NAME
BUF
3.56
OFFENSE
3.43
2.68
DEFENSE
3.00
21.51
POWER PLAY PERCENTAGES
19.89
82.98
PENALTY KILLS PERCENTAGES
82.93
28.41
SHOTS FOR
27.92
26.64
SHOTS AGAINST
30.05
0.88
DIFFERENTIAL
0.43

RECENT FORM

TeamRecord MoneyOffense DefenseFave DogO/U
Tampa Bay 38-17-4 $504 3.56 2.68 30-17 7-3 28-27-4
Buffalo 36-19-6 $1142 3.43 3.00 16-9 17-13 29-29-3

TEAM RECORDS

Tampa Bay Lightning

NameRecord HomeAway FaveDog O/U
Overall 38-17-4 19-10 19-7-4 30-17-3 7-3 28-27-4
Last 10 6-4 6-1 0-3 6-3 0-1 6-2-2
vs Div 10-4-1 5-3 5-1-1 8-4-1 1-0 11-3-1
vs WEST 18-5-1 10-3 8-2-1 14-4-1 4-1 8-15-1
vs EAST 20-12-3 9-7 11-5-3 16-10-2 3-2 20-12-3

Buffalo Sabres

NameRecord HomeAway FaveDog O/U
Overall 36-19-6 18-8-3 18-11-3 16-9-3 17-13-3 29-29-3
Last 10 7-2-1 2-2 5-0-1 2-2 4-1-1 5-5
vs Div 13-4-3 6-2 7-2-3 2-2-1 10-2-2 11-7-2
vs WEST 14-7-2 7-3-2 7-4 9-2-1 5-4-1 10-12-1
vs EAST 22-12-4 11-5-1 11-7-3 7-4-2 12-6-2 19-17-2

SUPERGRID

TitleStat RankStat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense 3.62 2 3.09 15
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense 3.86 1 2.89 12
Away Team Road Powerplay vs Home Team Home Penalty Kill 24.39 8 82.28 10
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense 3.42 7 2.55 2
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense 3.61 5 2.46 1
Home Team Home Power Play vs Away Team Road Penalty Kill 22.22 10 84.62 6

HEAD TO HEAD SUMMARY

TeamRecord O/UAVG ShotsPower Play Goals Power Play PercentagePenalty Kill Percentage Power Play Chances
Tampa Bay 4-3-3 5-4 3.30 28.70 5.00 16.67 71.88 30.00
Buffalo 6-3-1 5-4 3.70 30.60 9.00 28.12 83.33 32.00

HEAD TO HEAD DETAIL

DateAway Away ScoreHome Home ScoreLine TotalO/U Away ShotsHome Shots Away Power Play Goals Home Power Play Goals Away Power Plays Home Power Plays Away PP%Home PP% Away PK%Home PK%
Feb 28, 2026 BUF 6 TB 2 -250 6.5 O 35 38 1 0 5 3 20 0 100 80
Feb 3, 2026 BUF 3 TB 4 -210 6.5 O 26 35 1 1 3 2 33.3 50 50 66.7
Apr 13, 2025 BUF 4 TB 7 -260 6.5 O 25 31 1 1 2 2 50 50 50 50
Apr 5, 2025 TB 2 BUF 3 178 6.5 U 24 38 0 1 3 3 0 33.3 66.7 100
Mar 6, 2025 BUF 5 TB 6 -250 6.5 O 33 26 1 1 4 3 25 33.3 66.7 75
Apr 15, 2024 BUF 4 TB 2 -170 6 P 34 33 0 0 2 2 0 0 100 100
Feb 29, 2024 BUF 3 TB 2 -150 6.5 U 23 23 2 1 3 3 66.7 33.3 66.7 33.3
Jan 20, 2024 TB 3 BUF 1 -110 6.5 U 16 27 0 0 3 2 0 0 100 100
Oct 17, 2023 TB 2 BUF 3 -125 7 U 25 31 0 0 4 3 0 0 100 100
Mar 4, 2023 TB 3 BUF 5 140 7 O 36 34 1 2 5 5 20 40 60 80

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Buffalo Sabres

Tampa Bay Lightning

TEAM LAST 5 GAMES

Tampa Bay Lightning

DateOpponent ScoreResult LineShots Shots AgainstPower Play Penalty KillOpposing Goalie Location
Mar 3, 2026 MIN 1-5 L -140 25 22 0/3 4/5 Filip Gustavsson A
Feb 28, 2026 BUF 2-6 L -250 38 35 0/3 4/5 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen H
Feb 26, 2026 CAR 4-5 L 120 28 33 1/2 1/2 Brandon Bussi A
Feb 25, 2026 TOR 4-2 W -225 36 34 0/4 1/2 Anthony Stolarz H
Feb 5, 2026 FLA 6-1 W -220 28 34 1/4 5/6 Daniil Tarasov H

Buffalo Sabres

DateOpponent ScoreResult LineShots Shots AgainstPower Play Penalty KillOpposing Goalie Location
Mar 3, 2026 VGK 3-2 W -140 28 29 0/1 1/1 Akira Schmid H
Feb 28, 2026 TB 6-2 W 200 35 38 1/5 3/3 Andrei Vasilevskiy A
Feb 27, 2026 FLA 3-2 W -105 39 29 1/3 3/4 Daniil Tarasov A
Feb 25, 2026 NJ 2-1 W -110 30 28 0/3 2/2 Jake Allen A
Feb 5, 2026 PIT 2-5 L -125 27 32 1/5 3/3 Arturs Silovs H