Sports Betting Stats

NHL MATCHUP REPORT

March 7, 2026, 7:00 | Scotiabank Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning (38-16-4) VS Toronto Maple Leafs (27-24-9)

ODDS

	Bet365	5Dimes	BOL	bodog	pin
Moneyline
Spread
Total	o u	o u	o u	o u	o u

SMART CHART

TB	NAME	TOR
3.60	OFFENSE	3.22
2.64	DEFENSE	3.47
21.86	POWER PLAY PERCENTAGES	19.29
83.06	PENALTY KILLS PERCENTAGES	83.44
28.47	SHOTS FOR	27.37
26.72	SHOTS AGAINST	31.93
0.96	DIFFERENTIAL	-0.25

RECENT FORM

Team	Record	Money	Offense	Defense	Fave	Dog	O/U
Tampa Bay	38-16-4	$604	3.60	2.64	30-16	7-3	28-27-3
Toronto	27-24-9	$-769	3.22	3.47	14-12	10-17	33-22-5

TEAM RECORDS

Tampa Bay Lightning

Name	Record	Home	Away	Fave	Dog	O/U
Overall	38-16-4	19-10	19-6-4	30-16-3	7-3	28-27-3
Last 10	7-3	6-1	1-2	7-2	0-1	6-3-1
vs Div	10-4-1	5-3	5-1-1	8-4-1	1-0	11-3-1
vs WEST	18-4-1	10-3	8-1-1	14-3-1	4-1	8-15
vs EAST	20-12-3	9-7	11-5-3	16-10-2	3-2	20-12-3

Toronto Maple Leafs

Name	Record	Home	Away	Fave	Dog	O/U
Overall	27-24-9	16-10-6	11-14-3	14-12-4	10-17-4	33-22-5
Last 10	3-7	0-4	3-3	2-1	1-5	4-3-3
vs Div	6-10-3	5-4-2	1-6-1	2-6-2	4-4-1	10-8-1
vs WEST	12-9-4	7-4-3	5-5-1	8-1-2	3-5-2	15-7-3
vs EAST	15-15-5	9-6-3	6-9-2	6-7-2	7-8-2	18-15-2

SUPERGRID

Title	Stat	Rank	Stat	Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense	3.62	2	3.40	27
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense	3.86	1	3.29	25
Away Team Road Powerplay vs Home Team Home Penalty Kill	24.39	8	82.89	6
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense	3.30	14	2.55	2
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense	3.48	10	2.46	1
Home Team Home Power Play vs Away Team Road Penalty Kill	21.92	12	84.62	6

HEAD TO HEAD SUMMARY

Team	Record	O/U	AVG	Shots	Power Play Goals	Power Play Percentage	Penalty Kill Percentage	Power Play Chances
Tampa Bay	3-4-3	6-2	3.30	31.90	10.00	29.41	79.17	34.00
Toronto	7-3-0	6-2	3.80	32.90	5.00	20.83	70.59	24.00

HEAD TO HEAD DETAIL

Date	Away	Away Score	Home	Home Score	Line	Total	O/U	Away Shots	Home Shots	Away Power Play Goals	Home Power Play Goals	Away Power Plays	Home Power Plays	Away PP%	Home PP%	Away PK%	Home PK%
Feb 25, 2026	TOR	2	TB	4	-225	6	P	34	36	1	0	2	4	50	0	100	50
Dec 8, 2025	TB	0	TOR	2	105	6.5	U	29	25	0	0	1	2	0	0	100	100
Apr 9, 2025	TOR	4	TB	3	-180	6	O	31	28	1	2	2	4	50	50	50	50
Jan 20, 2025	TB	3	TOR	5	-135	6.5	O	30	28	1	1	2	1	50	100	0	50
Nov 30, 2024	TOR	5	TB	3	120	6	O	29	41	0	1	1	3	0	33.3	66.7	100
Oct 21, 2024	TB	2	TOR	5	-135	6.5	O	34	29	1	1	6	4	16.7	25	75	83.3
Apr 17, 2024	TOR	4	TB	6	-120	6.5	O	38	32	0	1	3	4	0	25	75	100
Apr 3, 2024	TB	4	TOR	1	-110	6.5	U	25	29	0	1	3	4	0	25	75	100
Nov 6, 2023	TB	5	TOR	6	-150	6.5	O	31	34	2	0	3	3	66.7	0	100	33.3
Oct 21, 2023	TOR	4	TB	3	125	7	P	52	33	0	2	2	4	0	50	50	100

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Toronto Maple Leafs

Tampa Bay Lightning

TEAM LAST 5 GAMES

Tampa Bay Lightning

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Line	Shots	Shots Against	Power Play	Penalty Kill	Opposing Goalie	Location
Feb 28, 2026	BUF	2-6	L	-250	38	35	0/3	4/5	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	H
Feb 26, 2026	CAR	4-5	L	120	28	33	1/2	1/2	Brandon Bussi	A
Feb 25, 2026	TOR	4-2	W	-225	36	34	0/4	1/2	Anthony Stolarz	H
Feb 5, 2026	FLA	6-1	W	-220	28	34	1/4	5/6	Daniil Tarasov	H
Feb 3, 2026	BUF	4-3	W	-210	35	26	1/2	2/3	Colten Ellis	H

Toronto Maple Leafs

Date	Opponent	Score	Result	Line	Shots	Shots Against	Power Play	Penalty Kill	Opposing Goalie	Location
Feb 28, 2026	OTT	2-5	L	110	23	40	0/2	2/3	Linus Ullmark	H
Feb 26, 2026	FLA	1-5	L	135	30	37	1/3	2/3	Sergei Bobrovsky	A
Feb 25, 2026	TB	2-4	L	185	34	36	1/2	4/4	Andrei Vasilevskiy	A
Feb 3, 2026	EDM	5-2	W	155	27	36	2/2	1/1	Connor Ingram	A
Feb 2, 2026	CAL	4-2	W	-120	22	30	0/0	1/1	Dustin Wolf	A

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