NHL MATCHUP REPORT

February 25, 2026, 7:30 | Benchmark International Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs (27-21-9) VS Tampa Bay Lightning (37-14-4)

ODDS

Bet365
5Dimes
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SMART CHART

TOR
NAME
TB
3.30
OFFENSE
3.62
3.40
DEFENSE
2.55
18.80
POWER PLAY PERCENTAGES
22.67
83.69
PENALTY KILLS PERCENTAGES
83.91
27.28
SHOTS FOR
28.16
31.63
SHOTS AGAINST
26.33
-0.1
DIFFERENTIAL
1.07

RECENT FORM

TeamRecord MoneyOffense DefenseFave DogO/U
Toronto 27-21-9 $-469 3.30 3.40 14-12 10-14 32-21-4
Tampa Bay 37-14-4 $760 3.62 2.55 29-15 7-2 26-27-2

TEAM RECORDS

Toronto Maple Leafs

NameRecord HomeAway FaveDog O/U
Overall 27-21-9 16-9-6 11-12-3 14-12-4 10-14-4 32-21-4
Last 10 4-5-1 0-4-1 4-1 2-2-1 2-2 5-3-2
vs Div 6-7-3 5-3-2 1-4-1 2-6-2 4-1-1 9-7
vs WEST 12-9-4 7-4-3 5-5-1 8-1-2 3-5-2 15-7-3
vs EAST 15-12-5 9-5-3 6-7-2 6-7-2 7-5-2 17-14-1

Tampa Bay Lightning

NameRecord HomeAway FaveDog O/U
Overall 37-14-4 18-9 19-5-4 29-15-3 7-2 26-27-2
Last 10 8-1-1 6-0 2-1-1 8-2-1 0-0 4-6
vs Div 9-3-1 4-2 5-1-1 7-3-1 1-0 10-3
vs WEST 18-4-1 10-3 8-1-1 14-3-1 4-1 8-15
vs EAST 19-10-3 8-6 11-4-3 15-9-2 3-1 18-12-2

SUPERGRID

TitleStat RankStat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense 3.30 14 2.55 2
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense 3.08 15 2.63 4
Away Team Road Powerplay vs Home Team Home Penalty Kill 15.00 30 83.13 4
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense 3.62 2 3.40 27
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense 3.37 12 3.54 25
Home Team Home Power Play vs Away Team Road Penalty Kill 21.11 13 84.62 7

HEAD TO HEAD SUMMARY

TeamRecord O/UAVG ShotsPower Play Goals Power Play PercentagePenalty Kill Percentage Power Play Chances
Toronto 8-2-0 6-3 3.80 31.70 4.00 16.67 68.75 24.00
Tampa Bay 2-4-4 6-3 3.00 31.50 10.00 31.25 83.33 32.00

HEAD TO HEAD DETAIL

DateAway Away ScoreHome Home ScoreLine TotalO/U Away ShotsHome Shots Away Power Play Goals Home Power Play Goals Away Power Plays Home Power Plays Away PP%Home PP% Away PK%Home PK%
Dec 8, 2025 TB 0 TOR 2 105 6.5 U 29 25 0 0 1 2 0 0 100 100
Apr 9, 2025 TOR 4 TB 3 -180 6 O 31 28 1 2 2 4 50 50 50 50
Jan 20, 2025 TB 3 TOR 5 -135 6.5 O 30 28 1 1 2 1 50 100 0 50
Nov 30, 2024 TOR 5 TB 3 120 6 O 29 41 0 1 1 3 0 33.3 66.7 100
Oct 21, 2024 TB 2 TOR 5 -135 6.5 O 34 29 1 1 6 4 16.7 25 75 83.3
Apr 17, 2024 TOR 4 TB 6 -120 6.5 O 38 32 0 1 3 4 0 25 75 100
Apr 3, 2024 TB 4 TOR 1 -110 6.5 U 25 29 0 1 3 4 0 25 75 100
Nov 6, 2023 TB 5 TOR 6 -150 6.5 O 31 34 2 0 3 3 66.7 0 100 33.3
Oct 21, 2023 TOR 4 TB 3 125 7 P 52 33 0 2 2 4 0 50 50 100
Apr 29, 2023 TOR 2 TB 1 -115 6.5 U 22 32 0 0 2 2 0 0 100 100

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Tampa Bay is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against Toronto
Tampa Bay is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 15 games when playing at home against Toronto

Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Toronto is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Toronto is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Toronto's last 15 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

TEAM LAST 5 GAMES

Toronto Maple Leafs

DateOpponent ScoreResult LineShots Shots AgainstPower Play Penalty KillOpposing Goalie Location
Feb 3, 2026 EDM 5-2 W 155 27 36 2/2 1/1 Connor Ingram A
Feb 2, 2026 CAL 4-2 W -120 22 30 0/0 1/1 Dustin Wolf A
Jan 31, 2026 VAN 3-2 W -160 41 30 0/0 0/0 Nikita Tolopilo A
Jan 29, 2026 SEA 2-5 L -110 31 22 1/3 2/2 Joey Daccord A
Jan 27, 2026 BUF 4-7 L -118 23 31 0/0 1/2 Colten Ellis H

Tampa Bay Lightning

DateOpponent ScoreResult LineShots Shots AgainstPower Play Penalty KillOpposing Goalie Location
Feb 5, 2026 FLA 6-1 W -220 28 34 1/4 5/6 Daniil Tarasov H
Feb 3, 2026 BUF 4-3 W -210 35 26 1/2 2/3 Colten Ellis H
Feb 1, 2026 BOS 6-5 W -220 46 34 3/8 2/3 Jeremy Swayman H
Jan 29, 2026 WPG 4-1 W -185 37 24 0/1 2/2 Connor Hellebuyck H
Jan 26, 2026 UTA 2-0 W -155 29 28 2/4 3/3 Karel Vejmelka H