Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts Pick - Betting the Under

It's a divisional showdown as the Tennessee Titans face off against the Indianapolis Colts on October 8, 2023, at Lucas Oil Stadium. The odds are favoring Tennessee by 2.5 points, with a total points line set at 43.

Tennessee Titans: Season So Far

The Titans are sitting at 2-2, not exactly lighting the world on fire but holding their own. They've been a bettor's friend with a 3-1 ATS record, and when it comes to totals, they've been leaning Under with a 1-3 O/U record. Their offense has been a bit sluggish, averaging 18 points per game, but their defense has been solid, holding opponents to an average of 17.5 points.

Indianapolis Colts: Season So Far

The Colts, like the Titans, are at a 2-2 record but are a mixed bag for bettors with a 2-2 ATS. They've tilted towards the Over with a 3-1 O/U record. Scoring an average of 24.25 points per game, they've been a bit leaky on defense, allowing 24.75 points on average.

Reasons to Bet the Under

1. Defensive Stats

Both teams have shown defensive prowess, especially the Titans who are holding opponents to just 17.5 points per game. The Colts aren't too far behind, with their defense allowing 24.75 points per game.

2. Yards Per Point

The Titans and Colts have a negative differential in Yards Per Point, indicating that they are efficient at preventing points. This is a strong indicator that we could see a low-scoring game.

3. Inefficient Offenses

Both teams have been relatively inefficient when it comes to converting yards into points. The Titans are averaging 18 points per game on offense, and the Colts are not much better at 24.25 points per game.

4. Historical Under Trends

When these two teams clash, the Under tends to hit. In the last 22 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis, the total has gone Under 15 times for Tennessee.

5. RZ Scoring

Both teams have struggled in the red zone, particularly the Titans, who have a RZ scoring percentage of just 38.46%. This could result in a lot of stalled drives and field goals rather than touchdowns.