New York Jets at Cleveland Browns Pick ATS - Odds and Game Preview

David Schwab
Date: September 20, 8:20 pm
Location: First Energy Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Cleveland -3
Total: 39

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In one of the less glamorous matchups on Thursday Night Football this season, the New York Jets go on the road to face the Cleveland Browns. BetOnline has opened the Browns as three-point home favorites with the total set at 39 points.
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The New York Jets and the Cleveland Browns get Week 3 of the NFL season started this Thursday night in a slated 8:20 p.m. kickoff at FirstEnergy Stadium with NFL Network carrying the national broadcast.
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New York at Cleveland Overview<br />
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The Jets stunned bettors in Week 1 with a dominating 48-17 romp over Detroit as seven-point road underdogs. A bit of reality crept back into the picture with Sunday’s 20-12 loss to Miami as three-point home favorites. They took the 44-point total OVER on their own in Week 1, but it stayed UNDER 42.5 points against their AFC East rivals in that recent loss. The total has stayed UNDER in four of New York’s last six games.
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The Sam Darnold era in New York is underway. The rookie quarterback threw for 198 yards and two touchdowns against Detroit as part of the early highlight reel. In Sunday's loss to Miami, he ended the game with 334 yards passing while completing 25 of his 41 passing attempts, but he tossed two interceptions against one touchdown while getting sacked three times. The more significant concern was New York's rushing offense with 42 yards gained on 19 rushing attempts.
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Cleveland is still looking for its first regular-season win since December of 2016, but it can take solace in the fact that it tied Pittsburgh 21-21 in Week 1 as a 3.5-point home underdog ahead of covering against the spread on Sunday in a tough 21-18 loss to New Orleans as a 9.5-point road underdog. The total stayed UNDER 51 points in that latest loss after going OVER 41 points in the overtime tie against the Steelers.
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The Browns used the first pick of the 2018 draft to select former Oklahoma quarterback Baker Mayfield, but so far head coach Hue Jackson has stuck with veteran Tyrod Taylor as his starter. He put Cleveland in position to beat the Saints with 246 yards passing and another 26 yards on the ground, but when a team forgets how to win, it is tough for it to overcome its own mistakes. Two missed extra points, and two missed field goals did not help the cause.
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New York at Cleveland Betting Trends<br />
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The Jets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 conference games, and they have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five Thursday games. The total has gone OVER in 16 of their last 21 Week 3 games.
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The Browns have gone 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games, but they have covered in five of their last seven games played on Thursday. The total has stayed UNDER in 11 of their last 14 games at home.
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Head-to-head in the AFC matchup, the favorite is a perfect 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings. The total has gone OVER in three of the previous five games between the two.
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New York at Cleveland Prediction 09/20/2018

The one exciting thing about this matchup is that Cleveland is actually favored to get the SU victory it has been looking for in quite some time unless this game ends up as a tie in overtime. The Jets appeared to take a step backward after the big upset in Detroit, while the Browns have continued to stay competitive in all nine quarters they have played this season.

I am going to lay the three points and go with Cleveland at home both SU and ATS with a few of its field goals going through the uprights this time around. As a possible parlay, I also have the total staying UNDER 39 points on Thursday night.

Free Pick: Take the Under 39
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