New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Betting Odds - Free Pick
Date:
October 30, 1:00 pm
Location:
New Era Field at Ralph Wilson Stadium
TV:
ESPN
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
New England -5
Total:
46.5
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The New England Patriots (6-1) will square off with the Buffalo Bills (4-3) in a pivotal AFC East clash at New Era Field at Ralph Wilson Stadium in Orchard Park, New York on Sunday, October 30th with a scheduled kick-off of 1:00 PM. The game will be broadcasted on CBS in selected markets. In the last meeting between the two earlier this season, the Bills shutout the Pats 16-0 in Foxborough, a feat that has not been achieved in decades by any NFL franchise.
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The Patriots come in on a three-game winning streak and most recently defeated the very talented Pittsburgh Steelers 27-16 on the road. This result can most certainly generate a bit of an overreaction and the Bills’ impressive win at New England is all but a distant memory at this point even when Buffalo continues to win.
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At one point this season the Buffalo Bills were sitting at 0-2 with many fans and analysts calling for the head of Coach Rex Ryan. Since then, the Bills have won four of their last five and now sit in the middle of the post-season race. The Bills most recently ended a four game winning streak when they were defeated in Miami by a score of 28-25.
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Public Money<br />
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80% of the consensus favor like the Patriots against the spread spotting the points to the Bills who will curate the hosting duties this Sunday. In Money Line markets, similar trends have emerged as 90% of the public are ready to lay heavy juice on the Pats at -230, opposed to taking the home dog of Buffalo at +190. At the moment in Over/Under markets, the Total Line is resting at 46.5 with just 57% of the public liking the Over in this match-up.
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New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Prediction
It is enticing to opt in on Buffalo outright here by virtue of the fact they have already beaten this team once this season and now get them at home with a tremendous purse on the table if they were to win. When we see the public smother the Patriots in both Money Line and Against The Spread markets, it signals us to fade that opinion right away as this is likely the result of last week’s impressive victory combined with the prestige that goes along with the Patriot crest. Buffalo is a talented football team and their four game winning streak shows how relevant and capable this outfit truly is. Had Buffalo won on the road at Miami, this game would have been for first place and perhaps the evaluation and assessment of this contest would have gone in a different direction as well. Nevertheless, the combination of the Dolphin victory and the Steeler defeat has driven the price in this market. The Patriots have had trouble in Orchard Park previously even when Tom Brady was on the field and in his prime. Points with Buffalo is a tremendous value play as an upset may be in the works yet again.
Free Pick:
Take the Buffalo Bills +5 (KF)
