Minnesota Vikings vs. Kansas City Chiefs Week 9 Pick

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The Vikings are hot, while the Chiefs are struggling, heading into what should be a good inter-conference match-up Sunday afternoon at Arrowhead. Minnesota is getting some good play as of late from its much-maligned quarterback, while Kansas City is expected to play its second straight game without its MVP QB. How are we playing this one with our free NFL pick?
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NFL Betting Odds<br />
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Week 9's NFL betting odds opened Minnesota as a three-point favorite for this game while holding off on boarding a total, probably because of some uncertainty with Kansas City's quarterback situation.
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Vikings vs. Chiefs Set-Up<br />
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<p>
Minnesota is 6-2 on the season, owner of a four-game winning streak, after beating Washington last Thursday 19-9. The Vikings outplayed the Redskins fairly thoroughly that night but settled for four field goals and never really pulled away. They also came up short ATS as 16-point favorites.
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On the night, Minnesota out-gained Washington 434-216, out-rushed the 'Skins 161-85 and won the time of possession 37:23. They were just favored by too much.
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Two weeks ago, the Vikings won at Detroit 42-30; just before that, they beat Philadelphia 38-20, and just before that, they beat the Giants 28-10. So Minnesota has won four straight by double-digits, out-gaining and out-rushing all four opponents.
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At 6-2 overall, the Vikes trail division-leading Green Bay by a game and a half in the NFC North, but they also own the second NFC wild-card spot at the moment, one game clear of the Rams.
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<p>
<a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nfl/green-bay-packers-vs-kansas-city…; title="Packers at Chiefs">Kansas City, meanwhile, is 5-3 on the season, after falling at home to the Packers</a> Sunday night 31-24. Playing without Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs fell behind 14-0 early but rallied to lead 17-14 late into the third quarter. Later, tied at 24, KC gave up a long Packers score on a screen pass, punted, then couldn't get the ball back, letting Green Bay run the last five minutes off the clock.
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On the night, the Chiefs got out-gained 374-337, out-rushed 118-88, and lost time of possession 33:27. They also committed the only turnover of the game, and it cost them seven points.
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Two weeks ago, Kansas City won at Denver 30-6 but lost Mahomes to that knee injury. But the Chiefs lost back-to-back games before that to Indianapolis and Houston with Mahomes. KC's also been out-gained in four of its last five games and out-rushed in six of its previous seven.
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And yet, at 5-3, the Chiefs lead the AFC West by a game and a half over Oakland.
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These teams met most famously back in January 1970, in Super Bowl IV, when Coach Stram's Chiefs upset the hell out of the heavily favored Vikings 23-7. These teams met most recently back in 2015, a 16-10 Minnesota victory. Both head coaches are still around from that one, but both quarterbacks are gone.
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NFL Betting Trends<br />
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Minnesota is the most successful team in the NFL over recent seasons, going 56-29 ATS under Coach Zimmer.
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Minnesota is 14-9-1 SU, 13-10-1 ATS with Kirk Cousins at QB.
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Kansas City is 1-3 both SU and ATS at home this season.
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Moore is 15-16 SU as a starter in the NFL.
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Home teams are 42-72 ATS in the NFL this season.
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Home dogs are 14-20 ATS in the NFL this season.
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Totals Report<br />
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Unders are 5-3 in Vikings games this season, which are averaging 41 total points.
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Overs are 5-3 in Chiefs games this season, which are averaging 51 points. Also, the one game Mahomes missed played over a total of 48.
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Unders are 63-54 in the NFL this season.
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nfl/matchup/1109798">Vikings at Chiefs NFL Match-up Stats</a> </span>
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