Kansas City Chiefs vs. New York Jets - NFL Betting Preview
Date:
October 1, 8:20 pm
Location:
MetLife Stadium.
TV:
NBC
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
KC -9/NY
Moneyline:
KC -420/NYJ +330
Total:
42
>The defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs take their show on the road for a Sunday night meeting with the Jets in East Rutherford. The expected quarterback showdown that was to be Patrick Mahomes vs. Aaron Rodgers won’t take place, so instead, Kansas City is favored by almost double digits for this contest.
NFL Betting Lines
The Week 4 NFL betting market opened Kansas City as a 10-point road favorite for Sunday night, with an over/under of right around 43. Early betting action then dipped both that spread to -9 and that total to 42.
Chiefs-Jets NFL Betting Preview
Kansas City is 2-1 on the season after disposing of Chicago last Sunday 41-10. The Chiefs hit the board on six of their first seven possessions of the game and led 34-0 at the half. KC then scored the first touchdown out of the locker room and eased home from there for the win and the cover at -13.
The Chiefs out-gained the Bears 456-203, and most of the yardage the Kansas City defense allowed came in garbage time.
KC opened this season with that tough 21-20 loss at home to Detroit; the Chiefs may have won that game without a bunch of dropped passes. Kansas City then won at Jacksonville 17-9.
New York is 1-2 on the season after losing at home in the rain to New England last Sunday 15-10. The Jets gave up the first 10 points of the game and trailed 10-3 at the half. New York later trailed 13-3, pulled to within 13-10 with five minutes left in the game but could get no closer and came up short ATS at +2.5.
The Jets got out-gained by the Patriots 358-171, out-rushed 157-38 and converted just 2/14 on 3rd downs.
New York opened its season with that fluky 22-16 overtime win over Buffalo, then got drilled at Dallas 30-10.
Chiefs-Jets Recent History
Kansas City is 3-1 in both SU and ATS over the last four meetings with New York. Most recently, three seasons ago, the Chiefs beat the Jets at Arrowhead 35-9 and covered at -20.
NFL Betting Trends
- The Jets are 8-16 SU, 10-14 ATS, with Zach Wilson as the starter at QB.
- Through Thursday night, NFL home teams are just 22-27 SU, 19-27 ATS.
- Through Thursday night, NFL favorites are 29-20 SU but only 21-25 ATS.
- Through Thursday night, NFL home dogs are 6-13 SU, 8-10 ATS.
Totals Report
The unders are 2-1 in Chiefs games this season, which are averaging 39 total points.
The unders are 2-1 in Jets games this season, which are averaging 34 points.
The Under is 25-24 in the NFL this season through Thursday night.
Chiefs at Jets Pick ATS 10/1/23
Kansas City could be 3-0, if not for a pick-6 and some dropped passes against the Lions, and its defense is playing well. New York, meanwhile, can’t throw the ball, can’t run the ball, and its defense, the strength of the team, only ranks 19th in the League. Also, playing on the road means the spread is a bit more amenable. And the early line movement worked in our favor. We’re giving the points with the Chiefs on Sunday night.
Free Pick:
Take Kansas City -9
