Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars Odds Analysis - Free Pick
Date:
December 3, 1:00 pm
Location:
EverBank Field
TV:
NFL Game Pass
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Colts +9.5/Jags -9.5
Total:
40.5
<p>The Indianapolis Colts head to Jacksonville to take on AFC South rival Jacksonville in Week 13 action. Kickoff for the game is scheduled for 1PM at EverBank Field. The oddsboard shows the Jags as a large -9.5 point favorite over the visitors with the total posted at 40.
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<p>Indianapolis dropped a 20-16 decision to Tennessee last Sunday. QB Jacoby Brissett was 17-29 for 196 yards. He didn’t throw an interception or a TD pass and was sacked 8 times. He also lost a fumble. TE Jack Doyle caught 7 passes for 94 yards. RB Frank Gore rushed for 62 yards and a TD. The defense held the Titans to 184 passing yards and they picked off 2 passes. They didn’t produce a sack but held Tennessee to 92 rushing yards on 28 attempts. LB Jon Bostic led the way with 11 tackles.
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<p>Jacksonville gave up a 57-yard FG with 1 second left in a surprising 27-24 loss to Arizona last week. QB Blake Bortles passed for 160 yards and had 2 rushing TDs. He was sacked 3 times and threw a costly pick late in the game. RB Leonard Fournette was held to only 25 rushing yards on 12 carries. The defense gave up 236 passing yards and had a sack and an interception. The run defense was good as they limited the Cardinals to 108 yards on 31 attempts. DE Calais Campbell returned a fumble 10 yards for a TD while SS Barry Church had 9 tackles and the lone interception.
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<p>Last Matchup<br><br />
2017 – Week 7, Jaguars 27-0</p>
<h2>Betting Trends to Consider </h2>
<ul>
<li>Indianapolis is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 matchups with Jacksonville.</li>
<li>The Colts have produced 17 overs and 4 unders in their last 21 games away from home (includes neutral site games).</li>
<li>Jacksonville is 6-3 ATS in the first of back-to-back home games.</li>
<li>The Jaguars are 3-12 ATS following back-to-back road games.</li>
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<h2>Injury Report</h2>
<p><b>Indianapolis:</b> The Colts will be without C Ryan Kelly who is dealing with a concussion and CB Rashaan Melvin.
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<p><b>Jacksonville:</b> The Jags are expecting RT Jeremey Parnell back who has missed the last three games and they may get back LG Patrick Omameh who has missed the last two and is considered a "Game Time Decision" this week. It's not all good news with WLB Telvin Smith and WR Allen Hurst ruled out.
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<h2>Public Money </h2>
<p>The public likes the Jaguars in this spot with 61% of the point spread bets landing on the host. The OVER volume holds an edge over the UNDER wagers with 53% being placed on that side of the total line.
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Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars Week 13 Prediction
Indianapolis got run over for 188 yards on 37 carries in their previous meeting, but the Colts have shored up their run defense since that game holding the opposition to fewer than 100 yards in four consecutive games. Their offense has been a problem though scoring 20 or fewer points in four of their last five games including a zero in their last against the Jaguars back in Indy. Jacksonville put up 27 points in the last meeting, but they had A. Hurns and M. Lee as starters which won't be the case this week. They were without RB L. Fournette, but Ivory had a huge game racking up 122 yards on nine carries. I don't see that happening this week. Sure Fournette may be able to break one off, but the lack of a quality passing game should have both teams loading up the box and forcing the QBs to win this game. I don't feel that either team will have a lot of success in the aerial attack making this an easy call.
Free Pick:
Take the UNDER 40.5 (RC)
