NFL FOOTBALL PICKS ATS - FREE WEEKLY EXPERT PREDICTIONS

San Francisco ranks 3rd in the League in total offense and 5th in defense; Seattle ranks 18th in offense and 23rd in defense. The 49ers are also the healthier team, which is becoming more important each week. Finally, San Fran beat the Seahawks three times last season by an average score of 30-14. Sounds about right to us. We’re giving the points Thursday night with the ‘Niners.

The lines maker is begging for Packers action, setting this line at Detroit -8.5. I'm not biting. Look for Detroit to have a big game on the ground and Goff to clean up the INTs. Take the Lions to cover the spread, winning by double digits.

The public opinion on this game is pretty close,and the line suggests that the linesmaker is looking for the Chiefs' money. Typically that would make this a no-play, but as I pointed out there are some reasons to back Kansas City and with the spread under 3, that's where my money is landing. 

Despite its recent success, Minnesota is a team with a journeyman at QB and a depleted receiving corps. The Vikings are also averaging only 86 yards per game on the ground. Meanwhile, Denver is showing it’s a better team than the one that started so poorly this season. QB Wilson is sharper, the running game is producing 129 YPG over the last month-plus, and the defense is improving. We’re betting the Broncos Sunday night.

The Bills have suffered a slew of injuries on the defensive side of the ball, but remember this is the Jets with Zach Zach Wilson behind center. Take the Under

Baltimore owns the better running game in this match-up, and the better defense, and that’s almost enough for us right there. Also, the Ravens own the much better performance against common opponents. We're almost surprised the spread on this game isn't three points higher. We're betting on Baltimore Thursday night.

In line with our NFL betting theory that teams often bounce back after a down week, and vice versa, we're predicting a comeback for the Jets after last week's poor performance. The Raiders, although coming off a win, are viewed as likely to experience a letdown. Our bet is on the Jets for this Sunday night's game.

The Ravens won the earlier matchup 28-3 but that was with D. Thompson-Robinson as the QB for the Browns. They have starter Deshaun Watson back at QB now and that's a big step up. They did give up 28 points, but two of their TD drives were 10-yard and 38-yard drives. The four previous matches between these clubs were decided by six or fewer points. Take the Browns +6.5

Chicago possesses the stronger running game and run defense in this matchup and has outperformed Carolina against common opponents this season. Avoiding turnovers is key; if Chicago can manage that, they should win and cover the spread.

Considering all the data, the game could go either way. The Jets' recent form and home advantage could be crucial.

The Jets seem to be the value pick here, with the under being the more attractive play for the total.

The data suggests a tough battle with neither team showing clear dominance in most categories. However, the Packers' home advantage and better offensive efficiency make them a tempting pick. Keep an eye on the point spread and consider the Over for a potential high-scoring game.

Given the stats and trends, this game is likely to be closer than the odds suggest. The Bears have the edge in key power stats, and both teams have vulnerabilities. Betting the Bears to cover the spread could offer good value, but with a rookie at the helm, the Over is worth a look given the Bears' recent

If you're looking to bet on the Raiders vs. Lions, the data points towards a strong showing for Detroit, especially on their home turf. While the Raiders have some advantages in the passing game, they'll need to overcome recent struggles to compete. Keep your eyes on the point spread and consider the Over for a potential high-scoring affair.

Chicago is coming off a big win at home with its backup quarterback. This leads us to consider the Bears as good candidates for a letdown this week. Meanwhile, Los Angeles is running in two-game spurts; two losses, two wins, and now two losses again. Following a downer of a performance in the second half last week, we consider the Chargers as good candidates to bounce back with a more complete performance here. That line does seem a bit high, but Chicago already owns three double-digit defeats this season. We like Los Angeles for Sunday night, minus the points.

Despite its recent struggles Buffalo is the better team in this match-up and should win this game outright. The Bills own the better running game and the better defense. Also, Tampa Bay is already having trouble scoring and now its QB and top WR might be out. We’re betting Buffalo Thursday night, minus the points.

In summary, taking the 49ers minus the points is a savvy move for several key reasons. First, San Francisco's offense, led by Kyle Shanahan, is due for a rebound after a below-average performance last week. Even with the recent dip, they rank 2nd in points scored and 3rd in yards per play. Despite potential injuries to stars like McCaffrey and Samuel, the 49ers have shown the depth and tactical flexibility to adjust their game plan effectively. On the flip side, Minnesota’s defense has been consistently poor, especially against high-caliber offenses. Moreover, the Vikings' offense has been inefficient, even more so with the injury to Justin Jefferson, making it unlikely they can keep up with San Francisco's scoring. Factor in Kirk Cousins' historically poor Monday Night Football record, and all signs point to a 49ers win that should comfortably cover the spread.

Philadelphia flirted with danger a couple of times earlier this season, and it caught up to them last week. As mentioned above, the Eagles just aren't quite the team they were last season, at least not yet. Meanwhile, Miami owns the No. 1 offense in the League - by a huge margin - and while the air attack gets most of the ink, they also lead the League in rushing at 182 YPG. We like the Dolphins to win this one outright.

If Lawrence can’t go here, it will be seven-year journeyman CJ Beathard at QB for Jacksonville, but our guess is he’ll play.

The Jaguars seem to be rounding into shape, with three straight victories, while New Orleans is hard to figure. Will we see the Saints who pounded the Patriots or the Saints who whiffed against Tampa Bay?

Also, Jacksonville is out-rushing opponents by 38 YPG while New Orleans comes in at +0. And teams that win the ground battles in the NFL cover the spread about 65 percent of the time. We like the Jags for Thursday night.

According to the stats and trends, Dallas has a slight edge in efficiency stats, while the Chargers have been better in the head-to-head matchups and specific game situations. The game is a toss-up but leans slightly in favor of the Chargers, especially considering they have the home-field advantage, have their top RB back, and are rested.

Buffalo played very sluggish last week in London, but this is still a conference title contender. We expect a bounce-back effort from the Bills this week. Meanwhile, New York can't score touchdowns, and the defense ranks 28th in the League. That playoff run of last season suddenly seems like a long time ago. We're betting Buffalo Sunday night, minus the points.