Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions Free Pick ATS

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions Free Pick ATS

Cliff Knox
Date: November 23, 12:30 pm
Location: Ford Field
TV: NBC

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Detroit -8.5
Moneyline: Detroit - 425/Green Bay +325
Total: 47.5

Last 5 Games

Green Bay Packers

In their most recent game against the Los Angeles Chargers, the Packers won 23-20. They covered the spread as 3-point underdogs, and the total went under the 44-point line. Their offense posted 397 total yards against the Chargers' 394 yards.

Detroit Lions

The Lions won their last game against the Chicago Bears with a score of 31-26. However, they did not cover the spread as 8-point favorites, and the game went over the 48-point total. The Lions gained a total of 338 yards while allowing 334 yards to the Bears.

Power Stats


Yards Per Point

Green Bay Packers: Offense - 15.82, Defense - 16.23
Detroit Lions: Offense - 14.69, Defense - 13.67
Advantage: The Lions are more efficient on offense in converting yards to points.

Yards Per Pass

Green Bay Packers: Offense - 10.66, Defense - 9.61
Detroit Lions: Offense - 10.69, Defense - 10.4
Advantage: Both teams are almost even in pass efficiency, with a slight edge to the Lions.

Yards Per Rush

Green Bay Packers: Offense - 4.05, Defense - 4.35
Detroit Lions: Offense - 4.6, Defense - 3.76
Advantage: The Lions are better both offensively and defensively in the rush game.

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Key Offensive and Defensive Stats

The Lions boast a potent offense, averaging 27.20 points per game, with impressive passing (263.00 yards/game) and rushing (136.60 yards/game). Defensively, they allow 22.90 points per game. The Packers, on the other hand, average 20.20 points offensively and allow the same defensively. Their passing game averages 217.50 yards, but their rush defense is weaker, allowing 134.70 yards per game.

Betting Trends

Detroit Lions

  • Strong ATS record, going 16-4 in their last 20 games.
  • Impressive SU record recently, winning seven of their last eight games.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games.
  • Dominant at home, both SU (7-1 in the last eight games) and ATS (8-2 in the last ten games).
  • Have a significant advantage over Green Bay in recent matchups (11-2 ATS in the last 13 games).

Green Bay Packers

  • Struggling ATS, with a 2-5 record in their last seven games.
  • SU record has also been poor recently (2-5 in their last seven games).
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of their last six games.
  • Weak performance on the road (1-4 SU in their last five games).

Top 5 Reasons Why the Lions Will Cover the Spread

Injuries to Packers' Backfield: Aaron Jones is out, and AJ Dillon is questionable, weakening Green Bay's rushing attack.
Detroit's Recent Dominance in the Series: The Lions have been strong against the Packers lately, especially ATS.
Strong Lions' Offense: Detroit's offense has been consistently high-scoring, especially at home.
Lions' Rushing Efficiency: Detroit has a superior rushing game, both offensively and defensively.
Packers' Road Struggles: Green Bay has had difficulties on the road, both in terms of winning and covering spreads.

Packers at Lions NFL Betting Pick

The lines maker is begging for Packers action, setting this line at Detroit -8.5. I'm not biting. Look for Detroit to have a big game on the ground and Goff to clean up the INTs. Take the Lions to cover the spread, winning by double digits.

Free Pick: Take the Lions -8.5
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