Chicago Bears vs. New Orleans Saints - Odds, Picks & Analysis
Date:
November 5, 1:00 pm
Location:
Caesar’s Arena
TV:
ESPN
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
No -6.5
Moneyline:
Bears +220 | Saints -270
Total:
41
Why These Odds Matter
The Saints are heavy favorites, but the Bears have had high-scoring games recently. The point spread and total line suggest a competitive game.
Crunching the Power Stats
Yards Per Point: Scoring Efficiency
Advantage: Chicago Bears
- Both teams are closely matched in scoring efficiency, but the Bears have a slight edge in differential.
The Air Raid: Yards Per Pass
Advantage: None
- Both teams have a negative differential in yards per pass, suggesting vulnerabilities in their pass defense.
Ground Game: Yards Per Rush
Advantage: Chicago Bears
- The Bears outperform the Saints in both offensive yards per rush and differential.
Team Performance
- Offense: Both teams average 21.38 points per game.
- Defense: Saints allow fewer points at 19.25, compared to the Bears at 27.25.
- Differential: Saints have a positive differential, while the Bears are in the negative.
Head-to-Head Stats
- New Orleans has the upper hand with 7 wins in the last 10 matchups.
- Both teams have similar Over/Under and ATS records in their recent head-to-head games.
Betting Trends
- Saints struggle at home, with a 0-5 ATS record in their last 5 home games.
- Bears are 1-7 SU in their last 8 road games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Bears' last 8 games.
Bears vs Saints Free NFL Total Pick
Given the stats and trends, this game is likely to be closer than the odds suggest. The Bears have the edge in key power stats, and both teams have vulnerabilities. Betting the Bears to cover the spread could offer good value, but with a rookie at the helm, the Over is worth a look given the Bears' recent
Free Pick:
Take the Over 41
