Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Free NFL Picks - Odds and Predictions
Date:
December 24, 1:00 pm
Location:
Gillette Stadium
TV:
CBS Sports
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
New England -11.5
Total:
47
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Divisional foes will meet and do battle with a combination of playoff contention and seeding implications on the line. The Buffalo Bills (8-6) will take on the New England Patriots (11-3) at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Massachusetts. The game will take place on Christmas Eve with a kick-off time of 1:00 PM EST. The contest will be aired on CBS. The teams met earlier this year in the home of the Buffalo Wing where the Patriots would trample the Bills 23-3. Overall, the Pats have won eight of the previous two meetings between both sides. Though New England has a propensity to be overvalued as a whole, they have been economical against the Bills. In their last five against the Bills, New England is 3-1-1 ATS.
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The Bills come in off a 24-16 win against the Miami Dolphins at home, last Sunday. Previous to this, the Bills earned a fabled victory in 2017’s Snow Bowl against Indianapolis in overtime. As for New England, the Patriots responded to their upset loss at Miami two weeks ago on Monday Night Football with a huge win last Sunday night against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Patriots rallied to come out with a 27-24 victory. However, there was plenty of controversy in the outcome. A ruled incomplete pass cost the Steelers a win and the opportunity to all-but-clinch home field throughout the playoffs.
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Public Money<br />
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Out of the chute the public has gotten all over the Patriots in this market. A 1.5-point line movement upward confirms this trend. Furthermore, 88% of the cash and 73% of the ticket action are with the Patriots. In Over/Under markets we have seen the market remain idle despite heavy inclinations on the Over. 98% of the cash and 85% of the tickets are on the Over.
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Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Prediction
The last team to shutout New England in Foxboro was the Buffalo Bills. You can be that this narrative will be a trinket that the Bills use for motivation this weekend in what is a game that they need to win. Whilst Buffalo’s playoff hopes remain afloat with a loss, a win gives them breathing room and you know they would love to have that with their season wrapping up at arch rival Miami. The bottom line is this, whenever you get New England at home you will pay to back the Pats. Takers have drank some sour juice several times this season when the Pats have hosted as a significant favorite. In fact, when the Patriots have been spotting eight points or more at Gillette Stadium, they are 1-3 ATS and lost two of those games outright. Undoubtedly New England is locked in and likely won’t let this game get away from them but don’t expect Buffalo to make it easy with what is at stake for them. Take the points.
Free Pick:
Take Buffalo +11.5
