Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Game Pick - Betting the Under
Date:
October 8, 1:00 pm
Location:
Heinz Field
TV:
CBS
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Baltimore -4.5
Moneyline:
Balt -225/Pitt +188
Total:
38.5
Game Overview
The Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers are set to clash at Acrisure Stadium on October 8, 2023. The Ravens are favored by 4.5 points, and the total points line is set at 38.5. This AFC North matchup promises to be a gritty showdown.
Baltimore Ravens: Season Stats
The Ravens are off to a good start with a 3-1 record and are 3-1 against the spread (ATS). Their offense has been fairly potent, putting up an average of 24.75 points per game. However, their defense has been the star, allowing just 14.5 points per game. When it comes to the over/under, they've been leaning towards the Under with a 1-3 record.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Season Stats
The Steelers are sitting at a 2-2 record, and they've been inconsistent against the spread, also at 2-2. They've been struggling on offense, averaging only 15.5 points per game, while their defense has been a liability, allowing 25 points per game. Like the Ravens, the Steelers have also favored the Under with a 1-3 over/under record.
Reasons to Bet the Under
1. Stellar Ravens Defense
Baltimore's defense has been exceptionally good, allowing only 14.5 points per game. With such a strong defensive unit, it's likely they'll keep the Steelers' already struggling offense at bay.
2. Poor Steelers Offense
Pittsburgh is only averaging 15.5 points per game. Their inability to put points on the board, combined with Baltimore's strong defense, makes for a promising Under bet.
3. Defensive Yards Per Point
Both teams have been fairly efficient in terms of yards per point on defense. Baltimore stands at 17.98 while Pittsburgh is at 16.12. This indicates that both defenses are making offenses work hard for their points.
4. Over/Under Trends
Both teams have been leaning towards the Under this season. Baltimore has a 1-3 O/U record, and Pittsburgh also stands at 1-3. Trends suggest that scoring will be low.
5. Red Zone Scoring Percentage
Baltimore has an 80% Red Zone scoring percentage, but Pittsburgh is only at 40%. The Steelers' inefficiency in the Red Zone could result in fewer points, making the Under more appealing.
Ravens at Steelers Free Pick
In the upcoming AFC North clash between the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers, all signs point to betting the Under on the total points line of 38.5. Baltimore's defense has been limiting opponents to just 14.5 points per game, while Pittsburgh's offense is struggling with an average of 15.5 points. Defensive efficiency, Over/Under trends, and poor Red Zone performance by the Steelers further solidify the case for the Under. It's a bet that aligns well with the current stats and trends.
Free Pick:
Take the Under 38.5
