Recent Form and Key Stats:

Dallas Cowboys:

• Record: 7-8 (6-8-1 ATS, 10-5 O/U)
• Offense: 21.6 PPG (21st), Defense: 24.5 PPG (23rd)
• Road Record: 5-2

Dallas has won four of its last six games, including a narrow 26-24 victory over Tampa Bay last week. Cooper Rush has been steady at quarterback, averaging 226.2 passing yards per game with a solid 9:1 TD-to-INT ratio. Despite their offensive improvement, the Cowboys’ defense has remained inconsistent, allowing 30+ points in three of their last six games.

In their Week 10 matchup against Philadelphia, Dallas was overwhelmed, losing 34-6. Their inability to generate offense or slow down the Eagles’ rushing attack defined that game. They’ll need a much stronger defensive effort and consistent offensive production to compete this time.

Philadelphia Eagles:

• Record: 12-3 (9-6 ATS, 6-9 O/U)
• Offense: 24.5 PPG (10th), Defense: 18.9 PPG (5th)
• Home Record: 6-1

Philadelphia is coming off a surprising 36-33 loss to Washington, where their defense allowed one of its highest point totals of the season. With Jalen Hurts sidelined, the Eagles leaned on backup quarterback Marcus Mariota, who performed admirably but fell short in crunch time.

The Eagles’ defense, ranked first in yards allowed (281.7), remains the team’s backbone. However, their recent loss exposed vulnerabilities, particularly against the run. At home, Philadelphia has been dominant, boasting a 6-1 record, and they’ll look to bounce back to solidify their playoff position.

Matchup Analysis:

Dallas Offense vs. Philadelphia Defense:

• Dallas’ passing game averages 232.9 YPG (11th), but Philadelphia’s defense leads the league in passing yards allowed (178.8).
• Dallas’ rushing attack (95.2 YPG, 28th) will face Philadelphia’s stout run defense (102.9 YPG allowed, 8th).

Without Hurts, the Eagles’ defense will need to carry more of the load. Dallas’ Cooper Rush will face significant pressure from Philadelphia’s top-ranked defense in yards per play (5.0). The Cowboys will need to establish quick passes and avoid turnovers to stay competitive.

Philadelphia Offense vs. Dallas Defense:

• Philadelphia averages 24.5 PPG (10th) but managed just 6 points against Dallas in their first meeting.
• Dallas’ defense, allowing 328.1 YPG (17th), has struggled to stop both the run and the pass.

Marcus Mariota’s dual-threat ability gives the Eagles flexibility on offense, but without Hurts, Philadelphia's ceiling is lowered. Expect the Eagles to lean heavily on their running game to control the clock and limit mistakes.

Trends:

• Dallas is 5-2 ATS on the road this season and has hit the over in 10 of 15 games.
• Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS at home and has hit the under in 9 of 15 games.

Key Player to Watch:

Marcus Mariota (Philadelphia QB): Mariota stepped in for Hurts last week, delivering a respectable performance but struggling in high-pressure situations. His mobility will be crucial against Dallas’ pass rush.