Tulane Green Wave vs Memphis Tigers Free ATS Pick
Date:
October 13, 7:00 pm
Location:
Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Tulane -3.5
Moneyline:
Tulane -176/Memphis +146
Total:
56.5
Friday the 13th college football at 7:00 PM at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium has the Tulane Green Wave (4-1) set to clash with the Memphis Tigers (4-1). The current point spread favors Tulane by -3, with a total line of 56.5. Let's dig into the key metrics to find the edge in this matchup.
Recent Form
Tulane Green Wave
- Record: 4-1
- Against The Spread (ATS): 2-3
- Offense: 29.80 points per game
- Defense: 17.40 points allowed per game
- ATS Home: 1-3
- ATS Away: 1-0
- Over/Under (OU) Record: 1-4
Memphis Tigers
- Record: 4-1
- ATS: 1-3-1
- Offense: 36.60 points per game
- Defense: 21.40 points allowed per game
- ATS Home: 0-2-1
- ATS Away: 1-1
- OU Record: 4-1
Edge: Memphis
Memphis has the edge in offense and OU record, but they're weaker ATS, particularly at home. Tulane's defense looks tighter, but their ATS record is also not so flattering.
Power Stats
Yards Per Point
| Team | Offense | Defense | Differential |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tulane | 13.07 | 18.38 | -5.31 |
| Memphis | 11.99 | 16.95 | -4.96 |
Edge: Tulane
Both teams have a negative differential, which is good. But Tulane's -5.31 is better than Memphis' -4.96, giving them the edge here.
Yards Per Pass
| Team | Offense | Defense | Differential |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tulane | 13.96 | 9.23 | 4.73 |
| Memphis | 11.07 | 11.4 | -0.33 |
Edge: Tulane
With a positive differential of 4.73, Tulane clearly has the advantage in passing efficiency.
Yards Per Rush
| Team | Offense | Defense | Differential |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tulane | 4.21 | 2.6 | 1.61 |
| Memphis | 4.53 | 4.42 | 0.11 |
Edge: Tulane
Once again, Tulane's positive differential of 1.61 outclasses Memphis' 0.11, giving them the edge in rushing efficiency.
Situational
Based on the SUPERGRID data:
- Tulane's road passing vs Memphis' home passing defense: 166.00 (Rank 91) vs 71.50 (Rank 4)
- Tulane's road rushing vs Memphis' home rushing defense: 128.00 (Rank 67) vs 175.50 (Rank 115)
Edge: Tulane
Tulane seems to have the edge when it comes to road rushing against Memphis' weak home rushing defense.
Head-to-Head Metrics
Recent head-to-head matchups in the last two years indicate a seesaw battle. Notably, Tulane won 38-28 in 2022, and Memphis clinched it 33-28 in 2021.
Betting Trends
- Memphis is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
- Tulane is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games
- Tulane is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Three Reasons Tulane Can Cover the Spread
- Strong Defensive Stats: Tulane has been more efficient in allowing fewer yards per point, which could prove pivotal.
- Impressive ATS: Tulane's ATS record, especially on the road, is far more reliable than Memphis'.
- Situational Advantage: Tulane's road rushing is likely to exploit Memphis' weak home rushing defense.
Tulane vs Memphis Game Pick
Our conclusion is that both teams have their strengths, but Tulane appears to have the edge in key metrics. Keep an eye on the situational and head-to-head data to make the most informed bet.
Free Pick:
Take Tulane -3.5
