Toledo Rockets at Bowling Green Falcons Pick

Toledo Rockets at Bowling Green Falcons Pick

Keith F
Date: October 12, 12:00 pm
Location: Doyt Perry Stadium
TV: CBS

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Bowling Green +25.5
Total: 64.5

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The Bowling Green Falcons (1-4) will host the Toledo Rockets (4-1) for a renewal of the Battle of I-75 when these two MAC rivals lock horns on Saturday, October 12th, 2019. Kick-off is scheduled for 12:00 PM ET and will be broadcasted on ESPN+. Toledo has owned Bowling Green in this rivalry series as they have won nine in a row against the counterparts. Most recently, the Rockets blasted off to a 52-36 win against the Falcons when they hosted them in 2018 in Toledo. Bowling Green was able to produce a cover closing as a 23-point underdog. Both teams are 2-2 ATS in the previous four contests.
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Toledo Rockets at Bowling Green Falcons Key Injury Concerns<br />
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Heading into the Battle of I-75, Toledo and Bowling Green have no injuries to declare concerning key personnel.
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Toledo Rockets at Bowling Green Falcons Overview<br />
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<b>Toledo Rockets </b>
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The Rockets come into the next chapter of this feud riding a four-game winning streak complemented by an equally impressive 3-1 ATS record over this span. Most recently, Toledo defeated Western Michigan when it hosted the Broncos last Saturday for a conference bout and greened-up while doing so winning by a score of 31-24 while closing as just a 1.5-point favorite. Toledo's one loss this year came on the road in a 34-28 defeat in its season opener at Kentucky. The Rockets lead at one point in the game, were competitive throughout, and were in a position to stage an upset against Big Blue.
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<b>Bowling Green Falcons </b>
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On the flip-side, Bowling Green enters on a four-game losing streak. Most recently, Bowling Green suffered its second shutout loss of the season. Last week, the Falcons were on the road at Notre Dame, and as a 45.5-point underdog could not come in under the number as the Irish went to work on BSGU defeating them 52-0 to tie the 52-0 beat-down, it suffered at Kansas State on September 7th in terms of severity of loss.
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<h2>
Reasons To Avoid Toledo Rockets<br />
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As a whole, the stock on the Rockets is very high right now, and that makes them prone to an overlay here against a Bowling Green team that simply cannot find its feet. However, laying this kind of lumber is quite disadvantageous with respect to the fact a shootout is expected. The high Over/Under of 64.5 presents a premise that this game could be offensive in connotation, and in such cases spotting more than a touchdown is a risky move. Toledo backers are being asked to lay close to four times that amount here, which makes that proposition even more perilous.
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Reasons To Back Bowling Green Falcons<br />
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The Falcons need to do something if they want to turn around their season. Winning or at least being competitive against a hated rival is a great way to orchestrate such a pivot. However, to the eyes of many Bowling Green simply does not look like it has a chance here given how it performed against a reputable opposition this year as they have failed to score and gave up 104 points while doing so (Citing the K-State and Notre Dame losses). Moreover, the Falcons will not help make a case here, giving up 62 points to Kent State on September 21st, either. Nevertheless, rivalry games have a tendency to bring out the best performance of ailing teams who come in with an "us against the world" and "nothing to lose" mentality. There is little question that the Falcons will come into this affair honing a similar attitude, and teams with this mindset are dangerous to be giving this kind of cushion to work with.
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaaf/matchup/1115997">Toledo at Bowling Green NCAAF Match-up Stats</a> </span>
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Toledo at Bowling Green Prediction 10/12/19

The Falcons have managed to cross the 35-point threshold in the last three meetings between both sides (averaging 36 points while doing so), and I expect them to hit the 35-point mark here in the next installment of this MAC feud. The question is whether or not Toledo can put up 70 on the Falcons defense to put them in a position to potentially cover. I would suspect not as the Rocket offense averages less than half that number (33.8 points per contest – 40th in the FBS), and their best offensive performance this season resulted in 45 points against Murray State in early September. Bowling Green is not Murray State; they will enter into this game with a chip on their shoulder looking to assert themselves on their own field. Will the Falcons win? Probably not. However, Bowling Green will make this a fight.

Free Pick: Take Bowling Green +25.5
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