Tennessee Volunteers at LSU Tigers Week 6 Analysis & Free Pick ATS

Tennessee Volunteers at LSU Tigers Week 6 Analysis & Free Pick ATS

Darin Zank
Date: October 8, 12:00 pm
Location: Tiger Staidum
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: TEN -3 / LSU +3
Total: 65

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A pair of SEC rivals on the rebuild hook up for what should be a good one when No. 25 LSU hosts No. 8 Tennessee Saturday afternoon at Death Valley West. The Volunteers are unbeaten this season, their second under Coach Heupel, while the Tigers are 4-1 in their first campaign under Coach Kelly.
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Louisiana State's not lined as a home dog very often, but it is for this contest. What's our play here for our free TEN/LSU pick?
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Tennessee-LSU Betting Odds<br />
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This week's college football betting lines opened the Volunteers as three-point conference road favorites over the Tigers, with an over/under of right around 63. Early betting action then edged that spread down to 2.5 at some <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/sportsbooks&quot; title="Find a Sportsbook">sportsbooks</a> and the total has risen to 65 points.
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Tennessee Betting Preview<br />
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The Volunteers are 4-0 on the season after outlasting Florida two weeks ago 38-33. Tennessee, they enjoyed last week off. The Vols scored the first three points of the game against the Gators and a touchdown just before halftime to lead 17-14 into the locker room. Tennessee then drove its first possession of the second half 73 yards to a touchdown, pushed its lead to 38-21 midway through the fourth quarter, and held on from there for the victory. However, in giving up two late Florida scores, the second one with 17 seconds left, the Volunteers pissed away the cover as 11-point favorites. Tennessee got out-gained by the Gators 594-576 and lost time of possession by a 35:25 split. But the Vols out-rushed Florida 227-141. The Volunteers opened this season with a 59-10 win over Ball State, covering at -37. They then won at Pitt 34-27 in overtime, covering at -6. They then beat Akron 63-6, covering at -47. Stretching back into last season, the Vols have out-gained five of their last seven opponents and out-rushed six of their last seven foes, most by large margins.
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LSU Betting Preview<br />
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LSU, meanwhile, is 4-1 on the season after coming from behind to win at Auburn last week, 21-17. The Tigers spotted the other Tigers the first 17 points of the game but, with help from a defensive touchdown, pulled to within 17-14 by halftime. Louisiana State then scored the only seven points of the second half late in the third quarter and held on from there for the W.
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However, LSU came up short ATS at -8.
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The Tigers got out-gained by Auburn 438-270 and produced just 85 yards through the air. But LSU won the ground game 185-101 and the turnover battle 4-1, creating at least a +10 points differential.
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The Tigers also received several gifts from Auburn during their comeback, in the form of a missed field goal, a botched trick play a couple of key penalties. LSU opened this season with that tough 24-23 loss to Florida State. But the Tigers then beat Southern 65-17, covering at -44, then rallied from 13-0 down to beat Mississippi State 31-16, then blanked New Mexico 38-0, covering at -31. Louisiana State has out-gained three of its five opponents this season and out-rushed each of their five foes.
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Tennessee-LSU Recent History<br />
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The Tigers own a five-game winning streak on the Volunteers, going 3-1-1 ATS in the process. But these teams haven't met since 2017 when LSU beat Tennessee 30-10 in Knoxville.
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<p><section></p>
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<span style="font-size:16px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaaf/matchup/1634271">Tennessee at LSU Week 6 Betting Stats</a>
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College Football Betting Trends<br />
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Through the 16 games this season that matched two teams ranked in the AP Top 25; the higher-ranked outfits are 9-7 SU and 7-9 ATS.
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Top 10 teams playing on the road this season are 9-4 SU and 6-7 ATS.
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Totals Report<br />
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The Overs are 3-1 in Vols games this season, which are averaging 67 total points.
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The Unders are 4-1 in Tigers games, which are averaging 50 points.
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Tennessee at LSU Prediction ATS 10/8/22

Normally we might consider Tennessee a candidate to experience a letdown following the big win over Florida, but the week off might litigate that possibility. Also, the Volunteers own the  No. 1 offense in the Nation, and while the defensive numbers are not great, we expect improvement. Meanwhile, LSU's been asking for trouble, falling behind by double-digits three times this season before rallying to win a couple of those games. And it's getting spotty play at the QB spot. We're taking Tennessee here.  

Free Pick: Take Tennessee -3
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