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The Aztecs bring a ton of momentum into this game after nailing down the MWC Championship with a 27-24 victory against Air Force as 3.5-point favorites in the title game. They are also riding a straight-up nine-game winning streak and while they did fail to cover their last time out, they are a profitable 8-1 against the spread during this same stretch of games. The total has gone OVER in four of their last six games.
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One of the main reasons that San Diego State cruised through the Mountain West undefeated this season is a hard-nosed defense that has only allowed 20 points or more once during this impressive run. On the year, this unit is ranked 10th in the nation in points-allowed (17.2). The Aztecs' offense was able to put-up an average of 31.4 points a game behind a rushing attack that grinded-out 235.3 yards a game. Donnel Pumphrey led the way with 1,554 yards rushing and 16 touchdowns on the ground.
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Cincinnati was just 4-4 SU in AAC play this season, but a 3-1 record in nonconference play was good enough to land a spot in this bowl. The Bearcats covered as two-point road favorites in a season-ending 19-16 victory over East Carolina after failing to cover in their previous two outings. The total stayed UNDER the 69-point closing line in that game and it has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight games.
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The Bearcats relied heavily on a passing game that was ranked fourth in the nation with 373.1 yards a game. Gunner Kiel took the majority of the snaps at quarterback and in the season finale against the Pirates he completed 30-of-47 attempts for 270 yards and a score. The ground game was anchored by Hosey Williams and Mike Boone with a combined total of 1,444 yards and 12 touchdown runs. The concern in this matchup is a Cincinnati defense that had some issues stopping teams this season. It finished the year ranked 88th in the nation in points allowed (30.3).
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San Diego State Aztecs vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Game Betting Trends
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The Aztecs are 1-5 ATS in their last six game played in December, but they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last nine nonconference games.
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The Bearcats are 2-6 ATS in their last eight bowl games and they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games played outside their conference. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five bowl games.
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These two teams last met in 2007 with Cincinnati rolling to a 52-23 victory as a 14-point home favorite. The total went OVER the closing 55-point line.
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