Navy Midshipmen at Houston Cougars Odds - Free Pick

Navy Midshipmen at Houston Cougars Odds - Free Pick

Keith F
Date: November 24, 12:00 pm
Location: TDECU Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: HOU -4.5
Total: 55.5

<p>
The Navy Midshipmen (6-4) and the Houston Cougars (6-4) will do battle on Black Friday for a pivotal late-season American Athletic Conference match-up. The affair will take place at TDECU Stadium in Houston, Texas on Friday, November 24th, 2017. Kick-off is slated for 12:00 PM ET and is set to be aired for national audiences on ESPN. The two teams have begun meeting on an annual basis only recently, spanning back to 2015. So far, the series has been even as each team owns one victory in this conference clash. The most recent outing belonged to the Mids when they edged out the Cougars in a 46-40 shootout in Annapolis in 2016.
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<h2>
Navy Midshipmen at Houston Cougars Handicapping Overview:<br />
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<p>
Both teams enter off losses but Navy’s left an impression on this market. The Midshipmen as a 21-point dog gave Notre Dame a right fight in South Bend, last Saturday. In the annual rivalry game, Notre Dame was taken the distance as the Mids would fall 24-17. Houston enters off a 20-17 defeat at Tulane where the Cougars were favored by 9.5 points against the Green Wave. Houston owns wins this year over SMU and USF.
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<h2>
Betting Trends:<br />
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<ul>
<li>
Houston is 5-2 SU in their previous seven matches.
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Houston is 2-1 ATS in their previous three games overall.
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Navy is 2-1-2 ATS in their previous five contests.
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Navy is 1-4 SU in their last five outings.
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<h2>
Public Money<br />
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<p>
In the early stages, we have seen the public get all over the Midshipmen. Navy is a public team and has a propensity to generate action by namesake alone. As a result, we have seen some lines diminish by two points already. 57% of the cash is on the Mids. A similar narrative has unfolded in Over/Under markets, as the number has also fallen by two points to reflect action on the Under.
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Navy Midshipmen at Houston Cougars prediction Nov/24/2017

Anytime the public gets on a dog, it prompts us to take a closer look at the favorite be that there is tremendous opportunity to snag some value on a short-priced choice. Houston has all the credentials and ingredients to fit the recipe. As mentioned, this is a team that gave South Florida its sole defeat in 2017. The victory was executed at Raymond James Stadium which is an even more impressive footnote to bolster their viability. However, the result should not shock too many. Not too long ago, the Cougars were the big dog in the American Athletic Conference yard. This venue serves as a great chance to remind the public of this. Navy’s result against Notre Dame would have carried more weight a few weeks ago but since then Irish have proven to be a bit of a paper tiger thanks to their blowout loss at Miami. Navy is likely overvalued here despite a deceptively friendly point allotment. Don’t bite.

 

Free Pick: Houston -4.5
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