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The 10-1 Memphis Tigers will square off against the 11-0 Central Florida Knights for bragging rights as the top team in the AAC this season in Saturday’s conference championship at Spectrum Stadium in Orlando. Game time on ABC is set for 12 p.m. (ET)
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Memphis at Central Florida Game Overview<br />
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Memphis will have to try and win the AAC title on the road in light of its lone setback on the year against Central Florida in its conference opener. The Tigers were mauled by the Knights 40-13 as 5.5-point road underdogs on Sept. 30 before reeling-off seven straight-up victories in a row. They went a profitable 6-1 against the spread in the same span as part of an overall record of 7-4 ATS. The total went OVER in eight of 11 games this year.
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To get past UCF this time around, Memphis will need another big effort from senior quarterback Riley Ferguson. In Saturday’s season-ending 70-13 romp over East Carolina, he only needed nine completions to rack up 299 yards passing and three scores. On the year, he has thrown for 3,500 yards and 32 touchdowns against just eight interceptions. The Tigers are ranked ninth in the nation in passing yards and their 44.3-point scoring average is ranked fourth.
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Central Florida could make a case for a spot in the College Football Playoff with a win on Saturday as just one of two undefeated teams in Division IA heading into this game. The Knights were clearly the most dominant team in the AAC this season with a point differential of plus 284. They were 6-4-1 ATS with the total going OVER in seven of the 11 games. Friday’s thrilling 49-42 victory against rival South Florida as a 10-point home favorite was the fourth time in UCF’s last five games that it failed to cover a double-digit spread.
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This is another offense that was able to move the ball through the air behind sophomore quarterback McKenzie Milton. He completed 69.1 percent of his 320 passing attempts for 3,301 yards and 30 touchdowns while only getting picked off six times. The Knights also did a good job at moving the ball on the ground with an average of 198.4 rushing yards a game. While the offense averaged even more points a game (47.6) than Memphis as the highest scoring team in the nation, the Knights’ defense was pretty stout allowing just 22.5 points per game.
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Memphis at Central Florida Game Betting Trends<br />
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The Tigers have gone 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU win and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games. The total has gone OVER in in six of their last eight December games.
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The Knights are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a SU winning record and they have gone 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games coming off a SU win. The total has gone OVER in five of their last six home games.
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Head-to-head in this matchup, UCF has covered ATS in its last five home games against Memphis and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in five of the last six meetings overall.
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