NCAAF MATCHUP REPORT

October 14, 2025, 7:00 | Williams Stadium

New Mexico State Aggies (3-2) VS Liberty Flames (1-4)

ODDS

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RECENT FORM

NameRecord ATSOffense DefenseDiff ATS HomeATS Away OU RecordOU Home OU Away
New Mexico State 3-2 2-3 22.20 22.80 -0.60 2-1 0-2 2-3 0-3 2-0
Liberty 1-4 1-4 17.00 23.20 -6.20 0-2 1-2 1-4 0-2 1-2

POWER STATS

Yards Per Point

NameOffense DefenseDifferential
NMSU 14.04 17.49 -3.46
LIB 20 16.72 3.28

Yards Per Pass

NameOffense DefenseDifferential
NMSU 13.17 11.34 1.83
LIB 13.72 11.63 2.09

Yards Per Rush

NameOffense DefenseDifferential
NMSU 1.87 3.81 -1.94
LIB 4.09 5.49 -1.4

SMART CHART

NMSU
NAME
LIB
22.20
OFFENSE
17.00
22.80
DEFENSE
23.20
-0.6
DIFFERENTIAL
-6.2
260.80
PASSING YARDS
175.60
50.80
RUSH YARDS
164.40
245.00
PASSING YARDS ALLOWED
162.80
153.80
RUSHING YARDS ALLOWED
225.00
-0.4
TURNOVER DIFFERENTIAL
0.4

TEAM RECORDS

New Mexico State Aggies

NameRecord HomeAway ATSATS Home ATS AwayOffense DefenseDiff
Overall 3-2 3-0 0-2 2-3 2-1 0-2 22.20 22.80 -0.60
Last 3 1-2 1-0 0-2 1-2 1-0 0-2 23.67 32.33 -8.67
vs Conf 1-1 1-0 0-1 1-1 1-0 0-1 18.50 5.00 13.50

Liberty Flames

NameRecord HomeAway ATSATS Home ATS AwayOffense DefenseDiff
Overall 1-4 1-1 0-3 1-4 0-2 1-2 17.00 23.20 -6.20
Last 3 0-3 0-1 0-2 1-2 0-1 1-1 11.00 25.00 -14.00
vs Conf 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-1 24.00 34.00 -10.00

SUPERGRID

TitleStat RankStat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense 22.20 105 23.20 66
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense 285.00 25 172.50 50
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense 21.00 134 205.50 132
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense 17.00 126 22.80 62
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense 136.00 129 282.50 107
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense 176.00 69 242.50 121

HEAD TO HEAD SUMMARY

TeamRecord ATSO/U ScoreRush YPRPA CPPY TYTO +/-
New Mexico State 2-6 3-4-1 4-3-1 29.50 152.50 4.62 34.38 58.55 251.12 404.50 1.62
Liberty 6-2 4-3-1 4-3-1 33.00 218.25 5.08 32.88 59.70 235.62 458.12 1.00

HEAD TO HEAD DETAIL

DateAway HomeScore LineTotal OU ResultARY APYATY ATTHRY HPYHTY HTTAway Team Attempts Home Team Attempts Away Team Completions Home Team Completions
Sep 7, 2024 LIB NMSU 30 - 24 22.5 54 P 217 256 473 0 117 158 275 1 29 22 16 9
Dec 1, 2023 NMSU LIB 35 - 49 -10 58 O 177 322 499 1 393 319 712 0 35 25 21 20
Sep 9, 2023 NMSU LIB 17 - 33 -9.5 54.5 U 172 167 341 3 250 276 526 1 26 25 14 15
Nov 26, 2022 NMSU LIB 49 - 14 -24 50.5 O 214 209 428 1 108 173 315 3 21 39 16 25
Nov 30, 2019 NMEXST LIBERT 28 - 49 -15 68 O 155 173 328 2 317 169 486 0 35 29 18 16
Oct 5, 2019 LIBERT NMEXST 20 - 13 4 63.5 U 161 173 334 0 131 265 396 3 31 31 16 20
Nov 24, 2018 NMEXST LIBERT 21 - 28 -7 72.5 U 83 313 396 2 141 154 295 2 54 31 29 18
Oct 6, 2018 LIBERT NMEXST 41 - 49 3.5 64 O 159 365 524 2 171 402 573 0 54 51 31 34

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Liberty Flames

Liberty is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Liberty is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Liberty's last 7 games
Liberty is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Liberty is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Liberty's last 6 games at home
Liberty is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Mexico State
Liberty is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Mexico State
Liberty is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Mexico State

New Mexico State Aggies

New Mexico State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New Mexico State is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Mexico State's last 13 games
New Mexico State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
New Mexico State is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 6 games on the road
New Mexico State is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Liberty
New Mexico State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Liberty
New Mexico State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Liberty
New Mexico State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Liberty

TEAM LAST 5 GAMES

New Mexico State Aggies

DateOPP ScoreSU LineATS Result ORYOPY OTYDRY DPYDTY TOLoc
Oct 2, 2025 SAMHO 37-10 W 1.5/51.5 W/U 95 255 350 69 244 313 -2 H
Sep 27, 2025 NMEX 20-38 L 16.5/53.5 L/O 15 289 304 132 344 476 -1 A
Sep 13, 2025 LTECH 14-49 L 10/42.5 L/O 27 281 308 353 221 574 2 A
Sep 6, 2025 TULSA 21-14 W 3.5/52.5 W/U 39 252 291 147 229 376 -1 H
Aug 30, 2025 BRYANT 19-3 W -19.5/53.5 L/U 78 227 305 68 187 255 0 H

Liberty Flames

DateOPP ScoreSU LineATS Result ORYOPY OTYDRY DPYDTY TOLoc
Sep 27, 2025 ODU 7-21 L 14.5/53.5 W/U 133 77 210 218 271 489 -1 A
Sep 20, 2025 JAMES 13-31 L 7.5/46.5 L/U 158 75 233 227 213 440 -1 H
Sep 13, 2025 BOWL 13-23 L -6/51.5 L/U 138 194 332 158 146 304 4 A
Sep 6, 2025 JVST 24-34 L -6/50.5 L/O 199 335 534 338 52 390 2 A
Aug 30, 2025 MAINE 28-7 W -25.5/51.5 L/U 194 197 391 184 132 316 -2 H

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