Iowa State Cyclones at Oklahoma Sooners Week 11 Pick

Iowa State Cyclones at Oklahoma Sooners Week 11 Pick

The Green Man
Date: November 9, 8:00 pm
Location: Memorial Stadium
TV: Fox

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Oklahoma -14
Total: 68

<p>
Oklahoma has had a long time to get over their first loss of the season in their last game, as they are coming off a bye. The loss dropped them in the rankings, and in the first college football playoff rankings, they are 9th. To get into the top four and make the playoffs, they will have to win out and win the Big 12 title game, and they still may need some help. They are in 2nd place in the conference standings one game back of undefeated Baylor, who they face on the road in their next match. Jalen Hurts leads an OU offense that is the highest-scoring team in the nation (49.3 ppg), and while their defense is giving up an average of 23 ppg they gave up 48 in their last game in their 48-41 loss to Kansas State.
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<p>
Iowa State had their three-game losing streak snapped in their last game with a 34-27 loss to Oklahoma State. They are at 3-2 in Big 12 play, but in conference play, they have not beaten a team that has a winning record. The Cyclones are 2-1 on the road this season, and they have a passing offense that ranks 6th putting up an average of 328.4 passing yards per game. While Iowa State lost to OU at home last season the last time these teams met in Norman, the Cyclones pulled off the big upset with a 38-31 win over the Sooners.
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<h2>
How the Public is Betting the Iowa State vs. Oklahoma Game<br />
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<p>
The public has backed Oklahoma in this Big 12 showdown, as they opened as a 13-point favorite, and as of Wednesday are a 14-point favorite. The total opened at 67 and now sits at 68.
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<h2>
Injury Concerns<br />
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<p>
<b>Iowa State </b>
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<p>
For Iowa State DB, Colin Newell, RB Greg Eisworth, and DE Kene Nwangwu are all listed as questionable.
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<p>
<b>Oklahoma</b>
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For OU WR A.D. Miller, TE Grant Calcaterra, CB Parnell Motley, and S Robert Barnes are all listed as questionable for this game, and K Calum Sutherland is out indefinitely.
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<h2>
When Iowa State Has the Ball<br />
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<p>
Iowa State will look for balance in this game even though their strength on offense is the aerial attack. QB Brock Purdy (2,567 yards 15 TD 7 INT). He has no lack of solid targets with the WR duo of Deshaunte Jones (586 yards 1 TD) and Tarique Milton (524 yards 2 TD) and TE Charlie Kolar (486 yards 5 TD). It is key that Purdy holds onto the rock in this big game facing an Oklahoma pass defense that ranks 38th in the nation. He faced the nation’s 117th ranked pass defense in the Cyclones the last match, which was a 34-27 loss to Oklahoma State, where he passed for one TD and was picked off three times. The main reason Iowa State will look for balance is because of the play of freshman RB Breece Hall. He leads the team with 475 rushing yards and had 315 of them in two games before rushing for 75 yards in the loss to Oklahoma State. The Sooners gave up 213 rushing yards and six rushing TD in the loss to Kansas State.
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<h2>
When Oklahoma Has the Ball<br />
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<p>
The Sooners will look to ride Hurts in this game, as he not only has passed for 2,469 yards with 21 TDs and only three INTs but also leads the team with 801 rushing yards. In the loss to Kansas State, he passed for 395 yards with a score and no picks and rushed for 96 yards with three TD. He has passed for 711 yards in his last two games with four TD and no INT. He has one of the best WR's in the nation in CeeDee Lamb 816 yards 11 TD), who is averaging 22.7 yards per catch and Charleston Rambo (559 yards 5 TD) is averaging 22.4 yards per catch. Hurts has help in the backfield with three RB's that have at least 357 rushing yards. Iowa State gave up 402 total yards in their loss to OSU (249 passing yards 153 rushing yards), and overall, they rank 23rd in the nation in run defense and 69th in pass defense.
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<h2>
Betting Trends<br />
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<p>
Both teams failed to cover the spread in their last games, where each lost as a double-digit favorite. While Oklahoma is 5-2 ATS in their previous seven home games against Iowa State, the Cyclones covered the last time they were in Norman in the 2017 season. Iowa State is only 1-3-1 ATS in their previous five road games while Oklahoma has covered the spread in four of their last five home games. There have been a lot of high scoring games in the previous seven meetings between these teams, with OVER bettors cashing in six of the seven matches.
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<h2>
Weather Report<br />
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The forecast for Saturday is for a high of 60 and a low of 48, and with a kickoff of 8 PM, it will be on the cooler side. There is no chance of rain and an 11 MPH wind coming out of the southwest.
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<p><section></p>
<ul>
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaaf/matchup/1116982">Iowa State at Oklahoma NCAAF Match-up Stats</a> </span>
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Iowa State at Oklahoma Prediction 11/9/19

Both teams took a big hit with losses in their last game with Iowa State dropping out of the top 25 and Oklahoma suffering their first setback of the season. The Cyclones have not beaten a team in Big 12 play that has a winning record, and they lost their only game of the season facing a ranked team. The Sooners will get back on track in this game with a big game from Hurts and the offense. Their defense will not shut down Iowa State, but OU will win handily at home and cover the spread.

Free Pick: Take Oklahoma -14
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