<p>
Since joining the SEC back in 2012, Missouri holds the lead in the series with Florida, winning four of seven meetings straight up, going 5-2 against the spread in the process. But the Tigers are in a bad way, heading into Saturday's game with the Gators in Columbia. How are we playing this one with our free college football pick?
</p>
<h2>
College Football Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
Week 12's college football betting odds opened Florida as a seven-point road favorite for this game, with an over/under of right around 49. Early betting action then dipped the Gators to -6.5 and the total to 48.
</p>
<h2>
Gators vs. Tigers Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Florida is 8-2 on the season, ranked No. 11 in this week's AP poll, after vanquishing Vanderbilt last Saturday 56-0. The Gators didn't score until the first play of the second quarter and only led the Commodores 14-0 at the half. But they scored touchdowns on their first two possessions of the second half, then returned a fumble 80 yards for another score to break away, on their way to the win and the cover as 27-point favorites.
</p>
<p>
For the game, Florida out-gained Vandy 560-128, although we should point out the Commodores were playing with a quarterback making his first career start.
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<p>
Two weeks ago, the Gators lost to Georgia 24-17, and while they came within a half-point of pushing the spread as 6.5-point underdogs, they actually got out-played pretty good that day. Just before that, Florida won at South Carolina 38-27, covering at -3.5, while just prior to that, it lost at LSU 42-28, pushing at +14.
</p>
<p>
The Gators have been out-gained and out-rushed three of their last four games.
</p>
<p>
At 5-2 in conference play, Florida trails Georgia by a half-game and a tie-breaker in the SEC East race. The Gators' chances of making the SEC championship game are slim, but the Bulldogs have games against Auburn and Texas A&M coming up. So nothing's been decided yet.
</p>
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<p></aside></p>
<p>
Missouri, meanwhile, is 5-4, a loser of three straight games, after getting blanked at Georgia last Saturday 27-0. The Tigers, as 19-point underdogs and without their starting quarterback and leading receiver, played that spread to a push through three quarters but couldn't quite hold on.
</p>
<p>
On the night, Mizzou only produced 198 yards of total offense but only gave up 339.
</p>
<p>
Three weeks ago, in the game they lost starting QB Kelly Bryant to a knee injury, the Tigers lost outright at Kentucky 29-7 as nine-point favorites. And just before that, Missouri lost outright at Vanderbilt 21-14 as 21-point chalk. So the last few weeks haven't gone too well for the Tigers or their financial backers.
</p>
<p>
At 2-3 in conference play, Mizzou is out of contention in the SEC East, and at 5-4 overall its still needs one win over its last three games to become bowl-eligible. Getting that bowl ban overturned is another story.
</p>
<p>
As of this writing, Bryant's status for Saturday was still uncertain.
</p>
<h2>
Gators-Tigers Recent History<br />
</h2>
<p>
As mentioned above, Missouri is 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS over seven meetings with Florida since these teams became conference rivals. Last year the Tigers upset the Gators outright as six-point dogs down at the Swamp 38-17, and two years ago, Mizzou pounded Florida 45-16.
</p>
<h2>
College Football Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Florida is 6-1 SU, 5-1-1 ATS on the road under Coach Mullen.
</li>
<li>
Florida is 5-2 both SU and ATS with Kyle Trask at quarterback.
</li>
<li>
Missouri is 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS at home this season.
</li>
<li>
Missouri is 0-4 ATS over its last four games.
</li>
<li>
On the season teams ranked in the AP Top 25 are 150-32 SU, 93-86 ATS against non-ranked opponents.
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Unders are 6-4 in Gators games this season, which are averaging 48 total points.
</li>
<li>
Unders are 7-2 in Tigers games this season, which are averaging 47 points.
</li>
<li>
Unders are 2-0 in the last two meetings between these two teams, but mainly because those totals were lined at 61 and 58.
</li>
</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaaf/matchup/1117152">Florida at Missouri NCAAF Match-up Stats</a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>