Virginia Cavaliers at Florida Gators Free Pick - Betting Odds

Virginia Cavaliers at Florida Gators Free Pick - Betting Odds

Cliff Knox
Date: March 17, 8:40 pm
Location: Amway Center
TV: TNT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Florida -1.5
Total: 127.5

<p>
The 5th seed Virginia Cavaliers face the 4th seed Florida Gators in an East Region 2nd round NCAA Tournament game that will take place at a neutral site at the Amway Center in Orlando, Florida Saturday March 18th at 8:40 PM ET. The NCAA tournament betting board lists Florida as a -1 spread fav over Virginia. The total line on this match has fallen to 126 after opening as high as 127.5.
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<p>
Virginia is coming off a 76-71 win over UNC Wilmington in the first round of the NCAA Tournament where they failed to cover the spread as a 7.5-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 147, which was over the closing line of 134.5. The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in their last two games after doing so in four in a row and in their last three games the total has gone over every time. Virginia has won five of their last six games.
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<p>
Florida is coming off an 80-65 win over East Tennessee State in the first round of the NCAA Tournament where they covered the 10-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 145, which was under the closing line of 148. Previous to the East Tennessee State game the Gators had failed to cover the spread in two straight games and in four of their last five games, including their last two, the total has gone under. Florida had lost two in a row before the win over East Tennessee State.
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<p>
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<p>
Offensively, Virginia is putting up 66.6 points per game on a 46.5% FG average. On the defensive side of things the Cavaliers are allowing 55.6 points per game, which ranks 1st in the nation, on a 39.6% FG average, which ranks 13th in the nation.
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<p>
Florida is putting up 78.3 points per game on a 45.1% FG average. On defense the Gators are allowing 66.6 points per game on a 40.8% FG average.
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<p>
These teams last met in the 2012 season where Florida beat Virginia 71-45.
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<h2>
Virginia Cavaliers at Florida Gators Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
The game total has gone over in 6 of Virginia’s last 8 games at a neutral site.
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<li>
The game total has gone under in 47 of the Cavaliers last 66 games as an underdog.
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<li>
Florida is 1-8 against the spread in their last 9 games vs. Atlantic Coast.
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<li>
The game total has gone under in 7 of the Gator’s last 10 games as a favorite.
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</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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<p>
In this NCAAB matchup between Virginia and Florida have the public leaning to the home Gators minus the 1.5 points with 58%. The over/under bettors are definitively thinking this game will stay under the posted total line of 127.5 with 78% on board.
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Virginia Cavaliers at Florida Gators Prediction

Virginia’s defense was brilliant early in this season, but has fallen off in recent games giving up 71 points in back to back games and even Pittsburgh put up 63 three games back. Their offense has picked it up scoring 67 or more in three of their last four. The Cavaliers game plan is to slow down the game limiting the scoring opportunities of their opponents, but that may not work against the Gators who have shot just under 50 from the field in three of their last four games.

Free Pick: Take the OVER 126
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