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The UCF Knights face the 12th ranked SMU Mustangs in the semifinals of the AAC tournament in a game that will take place at a neutral site at the XL Center in Hartford, Connecticut at 3:00 PM ET. The SMU Mustangs are a large -8.5 point spread fav for this match with a total line on the move from 126 to as high as 128 at some betting shops.
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UCF is coming off an 84-54 blowout win over Memphis in their last game where they covered the 2.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 138, which was over the closing line of 130.5. The Knights have covered the spread in three of their last four games and previous to the Memphis game the total had gone under in two straight games. UCF has won their last six games.
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SMU is coming off an 81-77 win over East Carolina in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 19-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 158, which was well over the closing line of 128. Previous to the East Carolina game the Mustangs had covered the spread in four straight games and in their last six games the total has gone over every time. SMU has won 14 straight games.
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Offensively, UCF is putting up 66.9 points per game on a 43.7% FG average. On the defensive side of things the Knights are allowing 60.5 points per game, which ranks 5th in the nation, on a 36% FG average, which ranks 1st in the nation.
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SMU is putting up 74.6 points per game on a 47.4% FG average. On defense the Mustangs are allowing 59.4 points per game, which ranks 3rd in the nation, on a 38.6% FG average, which ranks 8th in the nation.
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In the lone match up between these teams this season, which took place at Central Florida, the Mustangs beat the Knights 65-60.
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<h2>
UCF Knights at SMU Mustangs Betting Trends<br />
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Central Florida is 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 games overall.
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The Knights are 2-3-1 against the spread in their last 6 games against the Mustangs.
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The game total has gone under in 9 of Central Florida’s last 12 games against Southern Methodist.
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Southern Methodist is 11-2 against the spread in their last 13 games overall.
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The Mustangs are 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games against the Knights.
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<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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In this NCAAB matchup between Central Florida and Southern Methodist have the public leaning to the home Mustangs minus the 8.5 points with 57%. The over/under bettors are thinking this game will go over the posted total line of 126 with 67% on board.
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