Texas-Arlington Mustangs at Georgia Southern Eagles Free Pick - Betting Odds - Point Spread Prediction

Texas-Arlington Mustangs at Georgia Southern Eagles Free Pick - Betting Odds - Point Spread Prediction

Cliff Knox
Date: February 20, 7:00 pm
Location: Hanner Fieldhouse
TV: ESPN3

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Texas-Arlington -3.5
Total: 154

<p>
The Georgia Southern Eagles host the Texas-Arlington Mustangs in a Sun Belt game that will take place at the W. S. Hanner Fieldhouse in Statesboro, Georgia at 7 PM ET. UTA opened as a -4 road betting favorite, but it has been bet down to -3.5 on some of the odds boards. The total for this game has been on a freefall opening at 154 points and now 2.5 points lower at 151.5.
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<p>
Texas-Arlington is coming off a 68-67 win over Georgia State in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 2-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 135, which was under the closing line of 151. The Mustangs have failed to cover the spread in two of their last three games and in their last two games the total has gone under while in the previous two games the total went over. Texas-Arlington has won four in a row and eight of their last nine games.
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<p>
Georgia Southern is coming off a 70-67 win over Texas State in their last game were they covered the 2.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 137,which was over the closing line of 136. Previous to the Texas State game the Eagles had failed to cover the spread in two straight games and in their last three games the total has gone over every time. Georgia Southern had lost two in a row before the win over Texas State.
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<p>
Offensively, Texas-Arlington is putting up 77.5 points per game on a 45.2% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Mustangs are allowing 68.9 points per game on a 41.8% FG average.
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<p>
Georgia Southern is putting up 78.1 points per game on a 44.2% FG average. On defense the Eagles are allowing 73.6 points per game on a 43.9% FG average.
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<p>
These teams split the two games facing each other last season with each winning at home.
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<h2>
Texas-Arlington Mustangs at Georgia Southern Eagles Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Texas Arlington is 6-3 against the spread in their last 9 games overall.
</li>
<li>
The Mavericks are 2-6 against the spread in their last 8 road games.
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<li>
The game total has gone under in 9 of Texas-Arlington’s last 13 road games.
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<li>
Georgia Southern is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 home games.
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<li>
The Eagles are 11-4 straight up in their last 15 games overall.
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</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
</h2>
<p>
In this college basketball matchup between Texas-Arlington and Georgia Southern have the public leaning slightly to the home Eagles getting the 3.5 points with just over 52%. The over/under bettors are leaning heavily to this game staying under the posted total of 154 with 78% on board.
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Texas-Arlington Mustangs and Georgia Southern Eagles Prediction

This is a tough game to call at first glance with Georgia Southern's exceptional home record. The Eagles are 10-1 overall at home and a perfect 7-0 in conference play. That said, two things that stand out when you dig into the numbers. Georgian Southern has hosted primarily the lower level Sun Belt teams and haven't been dominate in most matches. Sure they did beat a decent Georgia State team by 23 but that came back in December. They're only 4-3 against the spread in the seven conference home matches and barely got by Texas State in their latest a team that the Mavericks crushed by 15. UTA is 8-1 in their last 9 matches with trhe only loss being by two points.

Free Pick: Take Texas-Arlington -3.5
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