SMU Mustangs vs. USC Trojans Betting Odds - Free Pick

SMU Mustangs vs. USC Trojans Betting Odds - Free Pick

Cliff Knox
Date: November 25, 7:00 pm
Location: Galen Center
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: USC -1.5
Total: 140

<p>
The SMU Mustangs travel to Los Angeles to take on the USC Trojans in Friday night college basketball action. The lines maker had opened this game with USC a small -1.5, but Trojan money has moved this line to -3. The O/U line on this game hit the board at 140 and it has held that number.
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<p>
SMU got over their first loss of the season to Michigan winning their last game 84-57 against UCSB where they covered the 19-point betting line. The 141 points scored in the game was over the closing line of 134. The Mustangs won their first three games of the season before losing to Michigan and then getting back in the win column in their last game.
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<p>
USC is coming off an 88-54 win over New Orleans in a unlined game. The Trojans are 2-1 against the spread this season with the only game they didn’t cover was their second one of the season beating Nebraska-Omaha 82-72 where they failed to cover as a 12.5-point home favorite. All three lined games for USC have gone over the posted line.
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<p>
Offensively SMU has put up 75.4 points per game on a 47.5% FG average. On the defensive side of things the Mustangs have allowed 61.6 points per game on a 38.7% FG average.
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<p>
USC has put up 77.5 points per game on a 40.8% FG average. On defense the Trojans have allowed 62.5 points per game on a 36.9% FG average.
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<p>
This will be the first time that these two teams have met.
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<h2>
SMU vs USC Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
SMU is 4-1 straight up in their last 5 games.
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<li>
The Mustangs are 2-5 against the spread in their last 7 road games.
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<li>
The game total has gone under the posted line in 5 of SMU’s last 6 road games.
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<li>
USC is 4-1 straight up in their last 5 games.
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</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
</h2>
<p>
In this NCAAB matchup between SMU and USC the public is rallying behind the Trojans to cover the 1.5 point spread with 75% confidence. The over/under bettors are leaning to this game going over the posted total of 140 with 63%.
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SMU Mustangs vs. USC Trojans Prediction

I think that the total number is on the high side. Both of these teams play decent defense limiting their opposition to below 40% from the field and if they continue to do so, then there is a lot of leeway on the posted number.

Free Pick: Take the Under 140
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