Michigan State Spartans vs. Indiana Hoosiers NCAAB Pick - Odds Analysis
Betting Odds
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The Indiana Hoosiers (12-11) host the 5th ranked Michigan State Spartans (21-3) in a Big 10 game at the Assembly Hall in Bloomington, Indiana on Saturday, February 3, 2018, at 8:15 PM ET. On the NCAA betting board, Michigan State is an 8.5-point road favorite with the O/U line at 141.5 points.
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In their latest, Michigan State was at home where they hosted Penn State and came away with a 76-68 victory. The eight-point margin failed to cover the spread and the 144 points put up on the board by both clubs sent the game OVER. Miles Bridges was the high scorer for the Spartans with 23 points on 7/16 shooting, and Cassius Winston went for a double-double with 15 points and ten assists. Tony Carr was the top scorer for the Nittany Lions with 28 points on 9/24 shooting and was one of only two players on the team that went for double figures. Michigan State outscored Penn State by 14 points in the second half coming back from a six-point first-half deficit to get the win. For the game, they shot 50% from the floor and held the Nittany Lions to 37.7% shooting, but turnovers kept the game close. After a rough patch in January where Michigan State went 2-2 in conference play, they have strung together five consecutive victories to move their Big Ten record this season to 9-2.
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Indiana was on the road in their last game where they were crushed by the 17th ranked Ohio State 71-56. The blowout defeat had Hoosier bettors tearing up their tickets with Indiana failing to cover a +10 point spread. Total bettors cashed in on the UNDER with the 127 points falling well short of the 139.5 line. Devonte Green came off the bench and was the top scorer for the Hoosiers going for 20 points on 6/10 shooting and only two players for the team went for double figures. Jae'Sean Tate was the high scorer for the Buckeyes with 16 points on 7/10 shooting, and Keita Bates-Diop went for a double-double with 13 points and 13 rebounds. Indiana was outscored by 15 points in the first half and never challenged in the second. For the game, they shot a feeble 36.4% from the floor while they allowed Ohio State to shoot a bloated 55.8%. Indiana has lost three in a row and four of their last five games. Additionally, they are 5-6 in Big 10 play and is 10-4 at home.
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Michigan State ranks 20th in the nation in ppg and 21st in opponents’ ppg, and Indiana ranked 231st in ppg and tied for 156th in opponents’ ppg.
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These teams met this season on January 19th at Michigan State where the Spartans beat the Hoosiers 85-57.
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This season Michigan State is 13-10-1 ATS with an O/U record of 14-9 and Indiana is 12-11 ATS with an O/U record of 9-13-1.
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<h2>
SAGARIN RATINGS<br />
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Michigan State: 92.24<br />
Indiana: 79.60
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<h3>
INJURY REPORT<br />
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<b>MICHIGAN STATE </b>
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[G] 11/08/2017 - Kyle Ahrens is out indefinitely ( Foot )
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<b>INDIANA </b>
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[G] 12/04/2017 - Curtis Jones has left team ( Personal )<br />
[F] 01/10/2018 - De'Ron Davis is out for season ( Achilles )<br />
[F] 02/02/2018 - Collin Hartman is "?" Saturday vs. Michigan State ( Leg )
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<h2>
Michigan State at Indiana Hoosiers NCAAB Key Betting Trends<br />
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MSU is 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games
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MSU is 1-3-1 ATS in their previous five road games
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MSU has an Over record of 10-4 in their last 14 games
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IND is 6-0 ATS in their last six home games
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IND is 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games
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IND has an Under record of 5-1 in their last six home games
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Spartans vs. Hoosiers Betting Angles<br />
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Michigan State is 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Indiana.
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The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last five games between these teams.
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The home team is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 games between these teams.
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Michigan State at Indiana Prediction 2/3/18
Michigan State holds most of the edges in this game, especially on defense. Offensively the Spartans have averaged 71.7 points per game in their four conference road contests and allowed 68.5 PPG. They take on an Indiana team that has failed to surpass 71 points in their last six games and has averaged 64.4 over their previous five. The Hoosiers underperforming offense has them on an O/U run of 0-5-1, and I believe that continues tonight.