The Boliermakers should be highly motivated after a suprising loss at Nebraska as a -7 spread fav. They're taking on a hot team who is riding a six-game winning streak against Big Ten opponents. That said the Wildcats are banged up with their best scorer Guard Scottie Lindsey out and Forward Nathan Taphorn iffy to come off the bench tonight. It's a big line but Purdue's four home conference wins have all been by more than today's assesed handicap.

Florida State has struggled defensively in their last two, but that has been a trend this season on the road where they have allowed 76.8 points per game. Miami has put up 77 and 78 points in their last two games and may be able to duplicate that number in this contest. The Seminoles are rarely held under 70 points but can be contained by a good defense which Miami does posses allowing 60.7 point per game as a host. I would normally fade a team coming off an upset victory, but the metrics support the home club and that's where my money has landed.

The Moutainners haven't impressed so far in the conference games. Sure they beat Kansas and Baylor at homem but they also lost to a very medicore Oklahoma team. On the road in Big 12 play they're just 2-2 and 1-3 against the spread beating Texas by just 2 as an 11-point favorite and losing outright to Kansas State by 4 in their last two as a visitor. The Cyclones have dropped two at home this season with one being a point in OT to Cincinnati and the latest by four points to Kansas . Statistically in this role Iowa State is far superior on both sides of the court and offers solid wagering value in this game.

The Big 10 is an undisputed power conference, if not the best basketball conference in all of America. With respect to the fact, that this conference produces match-ups that yield extensive public interest on a daily basis, you can rest assured that the markets here are most sharp in each and every scenario that comes to fruition. When Iowa came in to this contest as a Pick-Em, that was no gift given to takers by the books, it was a rather observant inference. Iowa sits at 0-5 on the road this season. On the contrary, Rutgers stands at 9-2 at home. Do not let the numbers fool you. Rutgers recently had to face the conference’s two best teams in back to back games away from home when they fell to Maryland and then Wisconsin in extra time. Nevertheless, the emphasis of this market has been the perception that the Hawkeyes are available at a perceived value price after coming in off an impressive win against Ohio State. Given the fact Rutgers lost by six points at Iowa on as a 10-point underdog on the road, the price seems almost too good to be true for Hawkeye enthusiasts. This is assuredly the case as the Scarlet Knights have been tremendously undervalued in their previous two against meetings with Iowa as they also lost by 14 points as a 22-point home pooch in 2016 when the Hawkeyes were in the process of qualifying for yet another Men’s Basketball Tournament. Iowa has gone three years in a row, Rutgers hasn’t been there in 25 years. That is the ultimate driving price in this market. Iowa is extremely vulnerable here heading in to another hostile setting.

Creighton beat Butler in their earlier meeting by 9 at home covering the 5.5 point spread. That was the third consecutive win and cover for the home team in this series dating back to last season and I believe that trend will continue tonight Butler is coming off of their first loss of the season at home which should have them fully focused against a team that hasn't looked good since losing Maurice Watson Jr..

I was looking to compile some metrics that would justify laying down on the Buckeyes, but there just isn't the statistical numbers to support that position. Ohio State is just 2-2 at home versus Big Ten opponents and a poor 3-6 overall. Maryland on the other hand has dropped one of their eight conference games with the lone loss being by two points to Nebraska. I'll go with the public on this game.

The Rebels have dropped back to back games and four of their last contests included in that is a 1-3 run at home. That said, MSST is likely going to be without guard I. J. Ready which is a big loss for their offense which was evident in their loss at Alabama that Ready played a total of 2 minutes in. The Mississippi offense can be slowed down and with Ready likely to miss the total sticks out here.

The Cowboys have put 80 or more points in six straight and have averaged 79.63 points in Big 12 play, but they can be slowed down by a decent defense and that's what they'll be facing tonight. The Sooners have allowed 78.75 points per in conference games this season, but that is inflated by two overtime games that added an extra 33 points (16.5 points per game). The last two games they have allowed 84 points per game, but they had allowed an oppponent to exceed 80 points just twice in 11 games. The Oklahoma offense has also been underperforming scoring fewer than 80 points in 8 of their last 10 games.

Georgia Southern is 6-1 straight up in conference play tasting defeat for the first time in their latest against South Alabama on the road. They've given a positive return in road Sun Belt Conference games going 2-1 beating a good Louisiana-Lafayette team by 5 as a nine point dog. Troy is just 3-5 in conference play and 1-2 at home. The Trojans are a ho-hum 5-3 at home on the season with three of the wins coming in lined games. Statistically Troy has played the easier schedule and don't deserve to be a multiple point favorite at home.

Neither club has been padding their win column with Rider a disasterous 1-5 in their last six and Canisius 1-3 in their last four. The Broncs though have plyed tough in many of their recent losses staying within 6 in three of their last five defeats. With two teams on a negative slide I'll generally take the points and that's exactly what I'm going to do here.

Duke is just 2-3 on the road beating Wake Forest by 2 and pasting an overmatched UNLV by 49 as a -24 spread favorite. The Blue Devils are a mediocre 4-4 overall conference games this season and an embarassing 1-3 on the road with just the narrow 2-point victory over the Demon Deacons. Notre Dame is a non confidence building 1-3 straight up in their last four games, but the Irish has dropped just one game at the Purcell Pavilion in this campaign and that came against a very good Virginia team. The host is an underlay here.

The Cardinals were blown out by Oregon in their latest on the road to bring their record in true road games to a dismal 1-5. They have played a tough group with three of the losses coming against Oregon, UCLA and Kansas and their numbers versus the betting line is a money making 3-2. Cal is a respectable 11-2 at home and 3-1 against the Pac-12, but are only 1-3 ATS in their conference games as a host. The Golden Bears lack of ability to distance themselves in recent victories has me taking the points on the visitor.

The home team has won and covered the point spread in three straight in this series and that is the likely scenario in this meeting. The Hoosiers have lost all but one of their road games this season beating an underwhelming Nittany Lions team by three points. They come into this match without their best player guard James Blackmon Jr. which they can't replace. Northwestern comes into this game hot winners of consecutive straigh up and ATS and are the play here.

The Musketeers have are a poor 1-5 straight up on the road, but the competition in the losses dwarfs the ability of the Red Storm. St. John's has a 6-3 record at home this campaign, but the majority of those games were against lower level teams. When facing a quality opponent they have gone 1-2 straight up and against the spread with a margin . The pair of losses were by double digits so I'm going to call for Xavier to get back on track both straight up and versius the line.

Both teams play good defense with Virginia allowing a nation best 53.3 points per game and the 'Nova allowing a very good 16th ranked 62.6 PPG. In conference play the defensive scoring numbers are higher for each club, but that doesn't concern me as the Cavs and Wildcats not only hold the opposition to low shooting percentages they limit the opportunities.

I was on the Ducks in their easy win over the Utes on Thursday, but I'll be fading them in this match. That was a big game for Oregon and they may have some difficulty reaching the same level of motivation tonight against Colorado. The Buffaloes broke a seven game losing streak with a win over lowly Oregon State for their first conference win. That said, their last four games overall haven't been all that bad despite going 1-3 with overtime road losses to Washington and Washington State and a 3-point home loss to USC.

Irvine’s position at the top of the Big West standings is fueling this market. However, Davis remains undefeated on their home court this season and that is something worth focusing upon. The environment in Davis will assuredly be animated be that this is a game of consequence and is more than just a rivalry feud for bragging rights. Essentially, the winners take the inside path to winning the top seed in the Big West Tournament. For Davis in particular this would be landmark, given the fact they had a very disappointing 2015-16 campaign. With Davis looking for their first win against the Anteaters in two years, now is a great time to step in on the Aggies be that no one knows what effects will materialize on the Anteaters’ psyche after they suffered the Cal Poly loss on their own court in Irvine. Conversely, Davis is soaring after their big win in Hawaii and they can take that with them on their own court against their most despised rival. A victory for Davis puts them in the pole position of this conference race and given the fact Irvine is still on top of the pecking order even with the Cal Poly loss, they are still bound to yield a reaction from the general public. The Aggies have won their last two outright on the road as an underdog. What this says to us here is that there is an abundance of value on this likely undervalued Aggies team.

Kentucky is 10 points away from being undefeated or in other words, their three losses have come by a combined 10 points. They've won 10 games at home season with the lowst margin of victory being by 16 points to South Carolina and the other nune wins were by 20 or more. Kansas is coming off of an embarrasing loss of 16 points to a very good WVU, but I think that may have been looking ahead to this game. The Jayhawks lost only one other game this season and that came against Indiana in overtime in their season opener. I think the loss to the Mountaineers may help them, heading into this game fully motivated and they certainly can't be ruled out for the outright win.

I'm going to go with the public lean in this game. Baylor has one loss on the season and that came against West Virginia on the road a team that I believe is far superior to Mississippi. The Rebels are a poot 8-4 at home this season, losing three of their four games in conference play and while Baylor isn't in their conference they come from the Big 12 that in most handicappers would agree is a step up from the SEC. I'll lay the points on the visitor in this spot who should be able to extend the margin.

Duke has lost three of their last four and although their losses against Louisville and Florida State on the road were not surprising their last game against NC State was. I do expect them to come out today highly motivated, but the 6 point line is excessive. Wake Forest has played well at home going 7-2 with a quality win over Miami in their last game as a host. The Demon Deacons home losses were to a very good UNC team by 6 and by 5 against Clemson. The Blue Devils haven't played good defense in true road games allowing opponents to a 46.8 FG% and a 40.6 3-Point%. Wake has been exceptional on offense in this role scoring 87.9 points on 50% shooting. I'll take my shot on a live home dog.