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Duke and Michigan State are not conference rivals, but they do seem to meet a lot, like seven times over the last nine seasons. And they'll meet again, this time with a Final Four berth on the line, in the NCAA tournament East regional final Sunday afternoon in Washington, DC (5:05 pm ET, CBS). The Blue Devils own seven straight victories over the Spartans, but who do we like for our free NCAA tournament pick?
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<p><aside></p>
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<h2>
The Line<br />
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NCAA tournament betting odds opened Duke at -3 over Michigan State, with an over/under of 153. Early betting action then dipped the spread to -1.5 and dropped the total to 148.
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<h2>
Spartans-Blue Devils Betting Preview<br />
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No. 2 seed Michigan State (31-6 SU, 26-11 ATS) reached this regional final by beating No. 3 seed LSU Friday night 80-63. The Spartans jumped out to a 40-28 halftime lead, let the Tigers get within 40-36 early in the second half, then pulled away from there and covered as six-point favorites.
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On the night the Spartans shot 47 percent from the floor while holding LSU to just 39 percent shooting.
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Michigan State now owns an eight-game winning streak, going 6-2 ATS along the way.
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No. 1 seed Duke (32-5 SU, 18-18 ATS) reached this regional final with another close victory, 75-73 over No. 4 seed Virginia Tech Friday night. The Dukies trailed the Hokies at the half 38-34, led by eight midway through the second half, then, in the end, survived a V-Tech alley-oop that would have tied the game at the buzzer.
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On the night Duke shot 55 percent from the floor while holding the Hokies to 40 percent shooting.
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However, the Blue Devils came up short ATS as eight-point favorites, continuing a recent trend. Duke is now 6-0 SU, but only 1-4-1 ATS since Zion Williamson returned from injury, indicating they've been overrated on the college basketball betting lines.
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<h2>
NCAA Tournament Betting Trends<br />
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The Spartans are now 17-3 SU, 15-5 ATS this season against teams that made this NCAA tournament.
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The Big Ten is 12-6 both SU and ATS in this Big Dance.
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Duke is now 16-5 SU but only 7-14 ATS this season against teams that made this Dance.
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The ACC is now 11-6 SU but just 5-12 ATS in this NCAA tournament.
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<h2>
Spartans-Blue Devils Recent History<br />
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These teams have actually met seven times over the last nine seasons, twice in the NCAA tournament; Duke has won each of those seven contests, going 4-3 ATS in the process. Most recently these teams met early last season in Chicago, an 88-81 Blue Devils victory. Duke is a little different team now, skewing young, but several key Spartans remain.
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<h2>
Totals Report<br />
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The unders are 21-15 in Spartans games this season, which are averaging 144 total points.
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The unders are 24-11 in Blue Devils games this season, even though they're averaging 151 points. So Duke's been playing against some inflated totals this season.
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<p><section></p>
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href=" https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaab/matchup/1106771"&gt; Duke vs Michigan State NCAAB Tournament Match-up </a> </span>
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