Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels Free Pick - Betting Odds - Point Spread Prediction

Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels Free Pick - Betting Odds - Point Spread Prediction

Cliff Knox
Date: March 4, 8:00 pm
Location: Dean Smith Center
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: North Carolina -6.5
Total: 156

<p>
The 5th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels host the 17th ranked Duke Blue Devils in an ACC game that will take place at the Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, North Carolina at 8:15 PM ET. On the NCAA odds board the Tar Heels are posted at a -6.5 favorite a move of .5 a point from its opener. The total for this game is offered at 156 points.
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<p>
Duke is coming off a 75-70 win over a ranked Florida State team in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as an 8-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 145, which was under the closing line of 156.5. The Blue Devils have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games, including their last four, and in their last two games the total has gone under while in the previous two games the total went over. Duke had lost back-to-back games against Syracuse and Miami before the win over Florida State.
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<p>
North Carolina is coming off a 53-43 loss to Virginia in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 3.5-point underdog. The total number of points scored in the game was 96, which was well under the closing line of 131. Previous to the Virginia game the Tar Heels had covered the spread in four straight games and in their last four games the total has gone under every time. North Carolina had their four-game win streak snapped with the loss to Virginia.
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<p>
Offensively, Duke is putting up 80.4 points per game on a 47.4% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Blue Devils are allowing 68.4 points per game on a 43.2% FG average.
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<p>
North Carolina is putting up 85 points per game, which ranks 11th in the nation, on a 46.7% FG average. On defense the Tar Heels are allowing 70.1 points per game on a 41.7% FG average.
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<p>
These teams met on February 9th at Duke where the Blue Devils beat the Tar Heels 86-78.
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<h2>
Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
Duke is 1-5 against the spread in their last 6 games overall.
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<li>
The Blue Devils are 2-7 against the spread in their last 9 road games.
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<li>
The game total has gone under in 7 of Duke’s last 9 games on the road at the Tar Heels.
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<li>
North Carolina is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games overall.
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The Tar Heels are 2-4 against the spread in their last 6 games against the Blue Devils.
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<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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<p>
In this NCAAB matchup between Duke and North Carolina have the public leaning to the home Blue Devils minus the 6.5 points with 59% on board. The over/under bettors are banking on this game going over the total line of 156 with over 68%.
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Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction

Duke has been burning bettor's money in recent weeks losing five of six versus the line. They've dropped their last two games on the road and are a poor 3-5 straight up and 2-6 ATS as a visitor in ACC road games. North Carolina is a perfect 8-0 as host in conference games and while they're just 5-4 against the spread they can extend the margin case in point being victories over Louisville by 11 and Virginia by 24. They have extra motivation in this game coming off a loss in their latest and are in a revenge spot after losing to Duke in early February.

Free Pick: Take UNC -6.5
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