Duke Blue Devils at Louisville Cardinals Free Pick - Betting Odds

Duke Blue Devils at Louisville Cardinals Free Pick - Betting Odds

Cliff Knox
Date: March 9, 2:00 pm
Location: Barclays Cente
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Louisville -1
Total: 147.5

<p>
The 14th ranked Duke Blue Devils face the 10th ranked Louisville Cardinals in the quarterfinals of the ACC tournament in a game that will take place at a neutral site at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York at 2 PM ET. Louisville hit the odds board as a -1 favorite on the point spread line and has since risen to as high as -2.5. The O/U line for this game is listed at 147.5 points.
</p>
<p>
Duke is coming off a 79-72 win over Clemson in their last game where they covered the 6.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 151, which was over the closing line of 144.5. The Blue Devils have an ATS record of 1-4-1 in their last six games and in their last two games the total has gone over while in the previous two games the total went under. Duke has won two of their last three games.
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<p>
Louisville is coming off a 71-64 win over a ranked Notre Dame team in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 7.5-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 135, which was under the closing line of 146. The Cardinals have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games, including their last two, and previous to the Notre Dame game the total had gone over in two straight games. Louisville has won two of their last three games.
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<p>
Offensively, Duke is putting up 80.4 points per game on a 47.4% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Blue Devils are allowing 69.2 points per game on a 43.4% FG average.
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<p>
Louisville is putting up 77.5 points per game on a 45.5% FG average. On defense the Cardinals are allowing 65.4 points per game on a 39.4% FG average, which ranks 13th in the nation.
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<p>
These teams met on January 14th at Louisville where the Cardinals beat the Blue Devils 78-69.
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<h2>
Duke Blue Devils at Louisville Cardinals Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Duke is 1-4-1 against the spread in their last 6 games overall.
</li>
<li>
The Blue Devils are 9-3 straight up in their last 12 games overall.
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<li>
The game total has gone over in 13 of Duke’s last 19 games.
</li>
<li>
Louisville is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games overall.
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<li>
The Cardinals are 2-3-1 against the spread in their last 6 games against the Blue Devils.
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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<p>
In this NCAAB matchup between Duke and Louisville have the public leaning to the home Cardinals minus the point with 67% on board. The over/under bettors are heavily on this game going over the posted total line 147.5 with almost 75%.
</p>

Duke Blue Devils at Louisville Cardinals Prediction

The Cardinals beat the Blue Devils handedly in the last meeting at home and while this game is on a neutral court I don’t think the outcome straight up or against the spread will be any different. Duke looked like they had turned the corner back in late January winning seven straight, but the majority of the quality wins came when Grayson Allen was sizzling hot. He hasn’t been on top of his game since the middle of February averaging 6 points and under one assist per game in his last four.

Free Pick: Take the Louisville Cardinals -2.5
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