Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors Game 7 Betting Odds - Free Pick
Date:
June 19, 8:00 pm
Location:
Oracle Arena
TV:
ABC
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Golden State Warriors -5
Total:
207
<p>
The Cleveland Cavaliers will travel to Oakland, CA to face off with the Golden State Warriors at the Oracle Arena in Oakland, California for Game Seven of the NBA Finals. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM and is to be aired on ABC. The Cavaliers continue to scratch and claw their way back in to this series, as they have now won the last two contests in this series on the verge of elimination. The NBA title will be settled in one final game for all the chips, as the series is tied 3-3. The Game 7 betting odds opened at -5.5 and has fallen to -5 at most betting sites. The total hit the NBA board vat 206 has seen upward movement to a consensus line of 207 and we're starting to see some 208's at the more recreational sportsbooks.
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<div class="heading">
NBA Finals - Game 7 Overview
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<p>
Cleveland once again won big at home, by a score of 115-101 in Game Six. LeBron James once again was instrumental in paving the way for a Cleveland victory and forced the series back to Oakland where the Warriors will have to complete their title defense at the Oracle. Most recently in Oakland, Cleveland defeated Golden State in Oakland and handed the Warriors their fourth defeat at home this year.
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<div class="heading">
Key Betting Trends
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After their Game Six victory, the Warriors are 88-17 SU and 59-44-2 ATS. Cleveland has now improved to 49-50-3 ATS and 72-30 SU. With respect to the fact this series once again returns to the Oracle Arena, Golden State is 50-4 SU at home and they defeated Oklahoma City in Game Seven of the Western Conference Finals at the Oracle in an identical situation.
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<div class="heading">
Public Consensus
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We have been monitoring this line carefully. Initially we saw some early action come in on Cleveland, but those numbers have since diminished as 51% of the public are taking the Warriors and spotting the points. Nearly identically, 52% of the public are with Golden State on the Money Line at -200. Cleveland is available at +170. The Total Line is currently offered at 207 with 88% of the consensus on the over.
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Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors Pick
This game will likely be a classic for all the ages. While we cannot see Golden State losing this game outright, we can see this outfit having great trouble with putting Cleveland away. Initially, we were going to target an overreaction to the Cleveland resurgence but it seems that the sharp money has swarmed that opening line and late steam has been coming in on Golden State since. Line movements do not show this, but the overall changes in consensus may reflect this. This contest is basically one that is right down the middle in terms of outcome with teams against the spread. With this being said, we will play this one cautiously and lean on Cleveland with the points as that would be the academic move. On the contrary, the public's propensity for the over is a great target for us to set our sights on and opens the door for a "best bet" situation in taking the under, as we would expect Golden State to play a defensive game and force Cleveland to overcome their physical defense and raucous home crowd.
Free Pick:
Cleveland +5 & the Under 207
