Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Pick 5/11/19

Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Pick 5/11/19

Darin Zank
Date: May 11, 9:10 pm
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: SPORTSNET LA

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Dodgers -120/Nationals +110
Total: 7

<p>
After splitting the first two games of this four-game series the Dodgers and Nationals head into Game 3 at Chavez Ravine Saturday night. Which way are we going here for our free MLB pick?
</p>
<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
Saturday's MLB betting odds opened LA and Buehler at around -140 over Washington and Scherzer, with an over/under of seven runs. Early betting action then dropped that line down to -120.
</p>
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<h2>
Nationals vs. Dodgers Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Washington grabbed the opener of this series Thursday night 6-0, but Los Angeles took Game 2 Friday 5-0. The Nationals cashed in as +135 underdogs Thursday, but the Dodgers won Friday as heavy -200 favorites.
</p>
<p>
Also, both games in this series played under their totals.
</p>
<p>
With Friday's victory, LA is 11-4 over its last 15 games. At 26-15 overall the Dodgers lead the NL West by three games over second-place Arizona.
</p>
<p>
With Friday's loss, the Nationals are 1-5 over their last six games. At 15-23 overall Washington sits in fourth place in the NL East, 6.5 games behind first-place Philadelphia.
</p>
<p>
This series is the first meeting between these teams this season. Last year Los Angeles took the season series from Washington five games to one.
</p>
<h2>
Saturday's Starting Arms<br />
</h2>
<p>
Buehler is only 2/7 on quality starts this season, but two for his last four. Monday he held Atlanta to three runs and five hits through seven innings of a 5-3 Dodgers victory. And over his last four starts, he's allowed nine earned runs and 18 hits through 24 1/3 innings.
</p>
<p>
The Dodgers are 5-2 with Buehler this season.
</p>
<p>
This will be Buehler's first-ever start against the Nationals, which could give him an edge, at least for the first couple of times through the lineup.
</p>
<p>
Scherzer is 5/8 on quality starts this season, running on a streak of three in a row. Monday he held Milwaukee to two runs – one earned – and six hits through six innings, with 10 strikeouts, although Washington lost that game 5-3. And over his last three starts, he's allowed six ER and 18 hits through 20 innings, with 28 whiffs.
</p>
<p>
And yet, almost amazingly, Washington is just 1-7 with Scherzer this season.
</p>
<p>
In two starts last year against the Dodgers Scherzer allowed just three runs and nine hits through 13 innings, with 22 strikeouts. The Nationals only managed to split those two games.
</p>
<h2>
Saturday's Batting Splits<br />
</h2>
<p>
Washington is batting a meager .230/.306/.377 against right-handed pitching this season. This lineup has also been held to three runs or less in 12 of its last 15 games.
</p>
<p>
Los Angeles is batting .260/.347/.473 against RH pitching this season.
</p>
<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Nationals bullpen owns a 6.24 ERA this season and a 1.65 WHIP, both of which rank as the worst in the Majors.
</p>
<p>
The Dodgers bullpen owns a 4.43 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP.
</p>
<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Overs are 20-17 in Nationals games this season.
</li>
<li>
Overs are 21-19 in Dodgers games this season.
</li>
<li>
Overs are a combined 8-5 with Buehler and Scherzer this season.
</li>
<li>
Overs are 11-9 in games played at Dodger Stadium this season.
</li>
</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href=" https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1076113">LA Dodgers at Washington Nationals MLB Match-up Stats </a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>

Nationals at Dodgers Prediction 05/11/2019

Washington and Scherzer may own the edge in the pitching match-up for this game, but LA holds the advantages with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. And the bullpens may very well play a big part tonight. We'll take the Dodgers for our free MLB pick for Saturday.

Free Pick: Take the Dodgers -120
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