Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks World Series Game 5 Pick
The Texas Rangers find themselves one win away from their first World Series title in franchise history, heading into Game 5 Wednesday night at Chase Field.
Nathan Eovaldi gets the chance to carry the Rangers over the finish line while Zac Gallen will try to keep the Diamondbacks alive.
World Series Betting Odds
The Game 5 betting market opened Texas at around -120 over Arizona, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Early betting action then slid this game into a pick ‘em.
World Series Game 5 Betting Preview
Texas went up 3-1 in this Series by taking Game 4 Tuesday night 11-7. The Rangers took the lead the lead for good with five runs in the top of the second inning, put up five more in the third and eased on home from there.
Texas is now an amazing 10-0 on the road this postseason.
The overs are now 3-1 in this Series.
The Rangers played six games better than Arizona during the regular season but the D’Backs took the season series from Texas three games to one.
Game 5 Pitching Match-Up
This pitching match-up is a rematch of Game 1 of this World Series, that 6-5 Texas extra-inning victory.
Gallen is making his sixth start of this postseason. Last Friday in Game 1 he allowed three runs on four hits and four walks through five innings, although he left the game with the lead, before the bullpen blew it. But so far this postseason he’s allowed 16 runs and 28 hits through 27 1/3 innings, with 13 walks against 18 strikeouts.
Arizona played 19-15 with Gallen during the regular season but its only 2-3 with him this postseason.
Over three starts against Texas this season Gallen allowed seven runs and 18 hits through 16 innings, with five walks against 22 whiffs. The Diamondbacks lost two of those three games.
Eovaldi is also making his sixth start of this postseason. Last Friday in Game 1 he got touched for five runs and six hits through 4 2/3 innings and was set to take the L, before the Rangers rallied to win that game. But so far this postseason he’s held opponents to 12 runs and 27 this through 30 2/3 innings, with five walks against 36 strikeouts.
Texas played 15-10 with Eovaldi during the regular season and it’s 5-0 with him this postseason.
Splits With the Sticks
Texas batted .261 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .334 team OBP and a .456 team slugging percentage. This line-up lost a hot stick the other night when Adolis Garcia tweaked an oblique but his replacement, Travis Jankowski, had two hits and two RBI Tuesday night.
Arizona slashed .250/.323/.414 against RH pitching.
The Diamondbacks bullpen posted a 4.22 ERA this season, along with a 1.30 WHIP and a 2.47 K/BB ratio.
The Rangers pen put up a 4.77 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP and a 2.76 K/BB ratio this season.
MLB Betting Trends
Texas only played 40-41 on the road during the regular season but it’s 10-0 away from home this postseason.
Texas played 62-56 against RH starters.
Arizona played 43-38 at home this season but only 56-57 against RH starters.
The overs are 10-5 in Rangers games this postseason.
The overs are 8-7 in Diamondbacks games this postseason.
The unders played 43-31 at Chase Field this season and they’re 4-2 there this postseason.
The overs are 6-2 in Rangers-D’Backs games this season.
Rangers vs D Backs Free World Series Pick
We give Eovaldi the edge in the pitching match-up, and while Arizona might own the edge in the bullpen comparison, Texas owns the edge with the sticks. But perhaps most importantly, Big Mo rides with the Rangers. Arizona’s put on a great show this postseason, but remember, this is a team that barely made the playoffs. We’ll take Texas to clinch this World Series Wednesday night.