Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals Odds Analysis - Free MLB Picks

The Green Man

Date: August 5, 7:15 pm

Location: Kauffman Stadium

TV: FSN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Royals -128 / Mariners +118

Total: 8.5ov -111

On the Saturday evening MLB board, it’s the 56-55 Seattle Mariners versus the 56-52 Kansas City Royals in the 3rd game of a four-game set at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri tonight. The first pitch for this match at Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 7:15 PM ET.

The betting odds for this game favor the home side with the Royals laying -128 to -145 at many of the popular sportsbooks. The total line for this Saturday night affair is listed at 8.5 to 9 runs.

In Game 2 of this series yesterday, the Mariners beat the Royals 5-2. In the game the Mariners scored five runs on nine hits while the Royals countered with just two runs on four hits.

This season the Mariners rank tied for 9th in the Majors in runs scored and 15th in team ERA.

The Royals rank tied for 24th in the Majors in runs scored and 14th in team ERA. 
<h2>Pitching Match Up</h2>
Seattle: Felix Hernandez (5-4, 4.28 ERA) 
Kansas City: Danny Duffy (7-6, 3.42 ERA)
Felix Hernandez goes for the Mariners tonight and he gave up four earned runs in five innings in his last start, which was a 6-4 win over the Texas Rangers. The Mariners have won four of his last five games including his last two where he has given up four earned runs in each, but was backed by 12 runs of support. Hernandez faced the Royals in early July giving up five earned runs in six innings and in his career facing them in 14 starts he is 5-6 with an ERA of 3.05. Seattle has lost five of his last six road starts against the Royals. The Mariners have lost Hernandez’s last five road starts against a team with a winning record.

Danny Duffy gets the starting nod for the Royals and he had a great last start only giving up one earned run in seven innings, but got little help in a 2-1 loss to the Baltimore Orioles. The Royals had won his previous two starts and in his last two starts overall he has given up only two earned runs in 13 innings. Duffy opposed Hernandez in early July and got the win going five innings and giving up two runs. In seven career starts against the Mariners Duffy is 1-1 with an ERA of 2.25 and the Royals have won four of his last five starts against them. Kansas City has won 35 of his last 51 home starts and they have won 16 of his last 23 starts after a Quality Start in his previous start.

<h2>Betting Angles</h2>
The Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Mariners.
The Royals are 5-3 in their last 8 home games against the Mariners.
In the last 6 games between these teams the Over record is 4-2.
This season the Royals are 31-24 at home and the Mariners are 24-28 on the road. 
<h2>Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records </h2>
Seattle Mariners: 56-55 SU / O/U 52-55 / Run Line W/L 51-59 
Kansas City Royals: 56-52 SU / O/U 47-56 / Run Line W/L 57-51
<h2>Seattle at Kansas City Key Betting Trends</h2>
<ul>
<li>SEA is 9-3 in their last 12 road games</li>
<li>SEA is 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter</li>
<li>SEA has an Under record of 8-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record</li>
<li>KC is 6-1 in their last 7 home games</li>
<li>KC is 11-5 in their last 16 overall</li>
<li>KC has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games</li>
</ul>
<h3>Key Player Injuries </h3>
MARINERS 
(!)[DH] 08/04/2017 - Nelson Cruz "?" Saturday vs. Kansas City Royals ( Neck ) 
[LF] 07/29/2017 - Mitch Haniger 10-day DL (07/29) ( Facial ) 
[P] 04/01/2017 - Drew Smyly 60-day DL (03/31) ( Arm ) 
[P] 04/03/2017 - Shae Simmons 60-day DL (03/31) ( Forearm ) 
[SS] 04/03/2017 - Shawn O'Malley 60-day DL (03/31) ( Shoulder ) 
[P] 05/14/2017 - Ryan Weber 60-day DL (05/14) ( Bicep ) 
[P] 05/10/2017 - Hisashi Iwakuma 60-day DL (05/07) ( Shoulder ) 
[P] 04/30/2017 - Evan Scribner 60-day DL (04/26) ( Elbow ) 
[P] 06/01/2017 - Evan Marshall 60-day DL (05/06) ( Hamstring )
ROYALS 
[RF] 06/02/2017 - Paulo Orlando 60-day DL (06/01) ( Shin ) 
[P] 06/26/2017 - Nathan Karns 60-day DL (05/21) ( Forearm )

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction for August 5/2017

The Mariners had lost two in a row before beating the Royals yesterday. They are well out of the AL West race, but only 1.5 games out of the 2nd Wild Card spot, which the Royals have. Seattle only totaled five runs in losing two games in a row before scoring five in yesterday’s win. The Royals have lost four of their last five games and they are in 2nd place in the AL Central 3.5 games out of first place and in the Wild Card they have a ½ game lead over the Rays and a 1.5 lead over the Mariners. Kansas City has only scored 11 runs in their last five games with six of them coming in the lone win in that span. Hernandez has not been sharp giving up four earned runs in each of his last two starts. The Mariners have won those games giving King Felix solid run support, but he will not get that in this game. Duffy has been great in his last two starts and he will have another good one tonight and get some help from the lineup. The Royals will win this game and hold onto the 2nd Wild Card.

Free Pick: Take the Royals -128

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