San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds & Predictions

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds & Predictions

Darin Zank
Date: May 29, 7:15 pm
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: MLBTV

Betting Odds

Moneyline: SF +170/LAD -185
Runline: SF +1.5 -125/LAD -1.5 +105
Total: 7.5ov -113

<p>After splitting the first two games of a four-game NL West rivalry series, the Giants and Dodgers get it on again Saturday afternoon at Chavez Ravine. Lefty Julio Urias and his 7-1 record hit the hill for LA here against righty Logan Webb for San Francisco. Here's how we homeworked this one with our <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/free-mlb-picks&quot; title="Free Daily MLB Picks">free baseball pick</a>.</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Odds</h2>
<p>Saturday's <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/odds&quot; title="MLB Betting Lines form Multiple Sportsbooks">baseball betting lines</a> opened Los Angeles and Urias at around -180 over San Francisco and Webb, with an over/under of 7.5 runs. Early betting action then steamed the Dodgers to -200.</p>
<p>LA could also be found getting around +110, giving the run and a half on the run line.</p>
<h2>Giants-Dodgers MLB Betting Preview </h2>
<p>Los Angeles took the opener of this series Thursday night 4-3, but San Francisco bounced back to win Friday 8-5 in 10 innings. The Giants led Friday's game 5-2 into the bottom of the ninth, only to see LA's Austin Barnes tie it with a two-out, three-run homer. San Francisco then regrouped and pushed across three runs in the top of the tenth for the victory.</p>
<p>The Dodgers won as -145 favorites Thursday with a bullpen game, while the Giants won Friday as +185 underdogs against Walker Buehler.</p>
<p>Earlier this week, San Francisco swept two games at Arizona, which was good, after getting swept three games last weekend at home by these Dodgers. But going back a couple of weeks, the Giants are 8-4 over their last 12 games.</p>
<p>At 31-20 overall, San Francisco is playing way ahead of pace against its season wins over/under of 75.5.</p>
<p>LA, meanwhile, is 13-3 over its last 16 games. But even at 31-20 overall, the Dodgers are actually playing just off the pace against their wins O/U of 102.5, which was the highest figure on that board.</p>
<p>The Dodgers lead the season series four games to one.</p>
<h2>Saturday's Pitching Match-Up </h2>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/79612&quot; title="Julio Urias Pitching Logs">Urias is 6/10 on quality starts</a> this season and running on a string of three in a row. Last Sunday, he held these Giants to two runs and three hits through six innings, with zero walks and ten strikeouts, in an 11-5 Dodgers win. And over his last three starts, he's allowed just four runs and eight hits through 19 2/3 innings, with one walk and 24 whiffs.</p>
<p>The Dodgers are 8-2 with Urias this season, 3-0 over his last three starts.</p>
<p>Over his last four starts against the Giants, three last year, and the one last week, Urias allowed eight runs and 17 hits through 19 innings. Los Angeles split those four games, with one of the losses coming by a score of 3-1.</p>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/256128&quot; title="Logan Webb Pitching Logs">Webb</a> is coming off a short stint on the DL (sore shoulder) to make this start, so he might be on a short leash. By our tough standards, Webb is 3/8 on quality starts but two for his last two on the season. Twelve days ago, he held Cincinnati scoreless on six hits through six innings of a 6-3 San Francisco win but left that game with soreness. And just prior to that, he held Texas to two runs – one earned – through six innings, with ten strikeouts, in a 4-2 Giants victory.</p>
<p>San Francisco is 5-3 with Webb this year.</p>
<p>Over his last two starts against LA, both last year, Webb allowed six runs and ten hits through 7 2/3 innings. The Giants split those two games.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks </h2>
<p>San Francisco is batting .237 against left-handed pitching this season, with a .328 team OBP and a .419 team slugging percentage. This lineup is also operating without Brandon Belt (8 HR this season), who's dealing with some sore ribs.</p>
<p>Los Angeles is batting .256/.358/.428 against right-handed pitching. Numbers like those lead us to rank this lineup among the top three in Baseball in this split. The Dodgers have also been playing without Cody Bellinger and Corey Seager, but it looks like Bellinger will return to action Saturday.<br />
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1357226">SF/LAD 5/29/21 Matchup Stats</a></span>
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</ul>
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<h2>The Bullpens </h2>
<p>The Giants bullpen owns a 3.85 ERA this season, along with a 1.23 WHIP and a 2.55 K/BB ratio.</p>
<p>The LA bullpen owns a 3.85 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a 2.11 K/BB ratio.</p>
<h2>Giants-Dodgers MLB Betting Trends</h2>
<ul>
<li>The Giants are 17-13 on the road this season.</li>
<li>The Dodgers are 17-7 at home this season.</li>
<li>The Giants are 2-3 this season as dogs of +150 or more.</li>
<li>The Dodgers are 16-6 when favored by -200 or more this season.</li>
<li>The Dodgers are 13-9 against the run line when favored by -200 or more.</li>
<li>The Giants are 9-7 this season against left-handed starters.</li>
<li>The Dodgers are 20-14 this season against right-handed starters.</li>
</ul>
<h2>Totals Report </h2>
<p>Unders are 25-24 in Giants games this season.</p>
<p>Overs are 26-24 in Dodgers games this season.</p>
<p>Overs are 12-11 in games played at Dodger Stadium this season.</p>
<p>Overs are 3-2 in Giants-Dodgers games this season.</p>
<p>Overs are a combined 10-7 with Urias and Webb this season.</p>

Giants at Dodgers Prediction 5/29/21

Urias gets the check-mark in the pitching match-up, and Los Angeles owns the advantage in the splits with the sticks. So we like the Dodgers here. We do not, however, like that price. So we'll take a chance and play LA against the run line for our free MLB pick for Saturday.   

Free Pick: Take the Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
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