Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins Free MLB Pick - Betting Odds
Betting Odds
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The 10-12 Pittsburgh Pirates and the 10-11 Miami Marlins go at it again in the 2nd game of a three-game set at Marlins Park in Miami, Florida tonight. The first pitch at is scheduled to be thrown at 7:10 PM ET. The betting lines for this match list the Marlins as a small -120 favorite with a total line of being offered up at 8 runs.
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In Game 1 of this series the Pirates beat the Marlins 12-2. In the game the Pirates scored 12 runs on 18 hits and the Marlins scored two runs on 10 hits. The Pirates scored eight runs in the 2nd inning.
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This season the Pirates rank tied for 26th in the Majors in runs scored and 10th in team ERA.
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The Marlins rank tied for 17th in the Majors in runs scored and 23rd in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
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Pittsburgh: Ivan Nova (2-2, 2.00 ERA)<br />
Miami: Dan Straily (1-1, 3.92 ERA)
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<p>
Ivan Nova gets the nod for the Pirates in this game and in his last start he was solid only giving up one earned run in seven innings of work in a 2-1 win over the New York Yankees. He ranks 5th in the NL in ERA and in his four starts on the season he has lasted 27 innings and has given up six earned runs. Nova has not gotten much run support on, as the Pirates have only scored 11 runs in his four starts and five game in his first start of the season. After spending his whole career in the AL this game will be Nova’s first career start against the Marlins.
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Dan Straily goes for the Marlins tonight and he had a good last outing giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work in a 6-3 win over the San Diego Padres. After losing Straily’s first start of the season, where he was not sharp, the Marlins have won his last three starts where he has gone 17 innings and has given up four earned runs. This is his first season with Miami and with the Cincinnati Reds last season Straily faced the Pirates six times, including five starts, where he went 2-2 with an ERA of 3.38 going 32 innings and striking out 27.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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The Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games against the Pirates.
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In the last 53 games between these teams the Under record is 35-17-1.
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In the last 10 games between these teams in Miami the Under record is 7-3.
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This season the Marlins are 4-3 at home and the Pirates are 4-6 on the road.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
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Pittsburgh Pirates: 10-12 SU / O/U 10-11 / Run Line W/L 12-10<br />
Miami Marlins: 10-11 SU / O/U 12-7 / Run Line W/L 10-11
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<h2>
Pittsburgh at Miami Key Betting Trends<br />
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PITT is 4-10 in their last 14 road games
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PITT is 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter
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PITT has an Under record of 12-3-1 in their last 16 road games
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MIA is 2-5 in their last 7 overall
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MIA is 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record
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MIA has an Over record of 5-1-1 in their last 7 games
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<h2>
Key Player Injuries<br />
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<p>
PIRATES<br />
[LF] 04/25/2017 - Adam Frazier 10-day DL (4/23) ( Hamstring )<br />
[CF] 04/18/2017 - Starling Marte 80-game suspension ( Suspension )<br />
[P] 04/26/2017 - Antonio Bastardo 10-day DL (4/25) ( Quad )<br />
[3B] 04/28/2017 - David Freese "?" Saturday vs. Miami Marlins ( Hamstring )
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MARLINS<br />
[P] 04/02/2017 - Odrisamer Despaign 10-day DL (3/30) ( Oblique )<br />
[P] 04/01/2017 - Jeff Locke 10-day DL (3/30) ( Bicep )
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins Prediction
The Pirates have won two in a row and while their offense has been the big issue for the sub .500 club on the season they have totaled 18 runs in the last two games. Nova has been solid this season, but has not received much support from the lineup. He has a little bit of an advantage in this game, as many of the Marlins have never faced him. Straily has also pitched well on the season, but unlike Nova he is very familiar with the Pittsburgh lineup facing them six times last season with the Reds. Two things will continue in this game, as the Pirates will score some runs and Nova will have another good outing. Add those things up and you get a Pittsburgh win in the Sunshine State tonight.