<p>
The Mets shoot for the sweep of a three-game series with the rival Phillies Wednesday night in New York. Who do we like here for our free MLB pick?
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<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
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<p>
Wednesday's MLB betting odds opened New York and Vargas at around -110 over Philly and Velasquez, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Early betting action then flipped the Phillies into -115 favorites.
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<p>
Philadelphia could also be found getting around +145 giving the run and a half on the MLB run line.
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<h2>
Phillies vs. Mets Set-Up<br />
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<p>
New York won the opener of this series Monday night 5-1, then took Tuesday game 9-0. The Mets scored three runs in the bottom of the second inning Tuesday, then added four more on a Todd Frazier grand slam in the bottom of the fifth.
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<p>
Meanwhile, Philadelphia managed to get just one runner past first base all night, and he got thrown out at the plate.
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<p>
With Tuesday's victory, the Mets are 3-2 over their last five games.
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<p>
With Tuesday's loss, the Phillies are just 1-5 over their last six games.
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<p>
At 13-10 overall New York now leads the NL East by one game over 12-11 Philadelphia.
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<p>
This series is the second encounter between these teams this season; last week the Phillies took two of three games from the Mets in Philadelphia.
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<h2>
Wednesday's Starting Arms<br />
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<p>
Lefty Vargas is 0/3 on quality starts this season. Last Friday he held St. Louis to one run on three hits through four innings of a 5-4 New York victory. However, in his two starts previous to that he allowed six runs through 5 1/3 innings. On the season Vargas has allowed seven runs and 13 hits through 9 1/3 innings.
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<p>
Thanks to some good run support the Mets are 2-1 with Vargas this season.
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<p>
In his only start, last year against Philadelphia Vargas allowed two runs and six hits through 5 1/3 innings of an 8-2 New York victory.
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<p>
Velasquez is 1/3 on quality starts this season, but four outs away from being 3/3. Last Friday he held the Rockies in Denver to two runs and seven hits through 5 2/3 innings, with eight strikeouts, although the Phillies lost that game 4-3. And over his three starts this season he's allowed five runs and 13 hits through 16 2/3 innings.
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<p>
Philly is 2-1 with Velasquez this season.
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<p>
In two starts against the Mets, last season Velasquez allowed five runs and nine hits through 10 innings. Philadelphia lost both those games.
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<h2>
Wednesday's Batting Splits<br />
</h2>
<p>
Philadelphia is batting .238/.323/.451 against left-handed pitching this season. This lineup has also been held to three runs or less six of its last seven games.
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<p>
New York is batting .252/.334/.415 against right-handed pitching this season.
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<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Phillies bullpen owns a 4.31 ERA this season, with a 1.38 WHIP and a 92/33 strikeouts/walks ratio.
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The Mets bullpen owns a 5.15 ERA this season, with a 1.56 WHIP and an 86/42 K/BB ratio.
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<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
The overs are 12-10 in Phillies games this season.
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<li>
The overs are a lopsided 15-5 in Mets games this season.
</li>
<li>
The overs are 4-2 in games played at Citi Field this season.
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<li>
The overs are 2-2 in Phillies-Mets games this season.
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</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1075053<br />
">Phillies at Mets MLB Match-Up Stats </a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
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