Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants Odds - Free Pick
Betting Odds
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The 43-75 Philadelphia Phillies travel to San Francisco to take on the 48-74 Giants in the first game of a four-game set at AT&T Park tonight. The first pitch of the opener at AT&T Park is scheduled to be thrown at 10:15 PM ET.
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The host Giants are a moderate -114 money line favorites to get the money in this game. The total for this game is listed on most MLB boards at 7 runs.
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In their last match, the Phillies lost to the San Diego Padres 3-0. In the game, the Phillies were held scoreless on only three hits and the Padres scored three runs on seven hits.
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In their latest, the Giants lost to the Miami Marlins 8-1. In the game, the Giants scored one run on eight hits and the Marlins scored eight runs on 10 hits.
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This season the Phillies rank 30th in the Majors in runs scored and 20th in team ERA.
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The Giants rank 28th in the Majors in runs scored and 18th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
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Philadelphia: Aaron Nola (9-7, 3.02 ERA)<br />
San Francisco: Jeff Samardzija (7-12, 4.74 ERA)
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Aaron Nola gets the call for the Phillies tonight and in his last outing he had a good one going seven innings and giving up one earned run in a 3-1 win over the New York Mets. The Phillies have won four of his last five starts, including his last two, and in that span, he has only given up six earned runs in 33 innings. Nola has not given up more than two earned runs in his last 10 starts His only career start against the Giants came last season when he was not sharp giving up five runs on 10 hits in only three innings. Philadelphia has lost his last three road starts where he has gone 19 innings and given up six earned runs, but only received five runs of support. The Phillies have lost four of Nola’s last five road starts against a team with a losing record.
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Jeff Samardzija goes for the Giants in the opening game of this series and he gave up three earned runs in six innings in his last start in a 3-1 loss to the Washington Nationals. The Giants had won his previous three starts where he gave up seven earned runs in 21 innings of work and got 18 runs of support. Samardzija has struggled against the Phillies in his career going 1-4 with an ERA of 8.67, but has not faced them since the 2014 season. San Francisco is 3-8 in Samardzija’s last 11 starts after a team loss in their previous game and they have lost his last five starts against teams from the NL East.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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The Giants are 7-1 in their last 8 home games against the Phillies.
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In the last 15 games between these teams the Over record is 11-4.
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This season the Giants are 27-32 at home and the Phillies are 19-44 on the road.
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Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
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Philadelphia Phillies: 43-75 SU / O/U 52-57 / Run Line W/L 60-58<br />
San Francisco Giants: 48-74 SU / O/U 57-54 / Run Line W/L 50-72
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<h2>
Philadelphia at San Francisco Key Betting Trends<br />
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PHIL is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record
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PHIL is 20-53 in their last 73 road games
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PHIL has an Under record of 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record
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SF is 4-1 in their last 5 home games
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SF is 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter
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SF has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 home games
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Key Player Injuries<br />
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<b>PHILLIES</b><br />
[CF] 08/05/2017 - Aaron Altherr 10-day DL (08/04) ( Hamstring )<br />
[P] 08/11/2017 - Vince Velasquez 10-day DL (08/11) ( Finger )<br />
[C] 08/08/2017 - Andrew Knapp 10-day DL (08/04) ( Hand )<br />
[LF] 08/15/2017 - Daniel Nava 10-day DL (08/12) ( Back )<br />
[CF] 08/16/2017 - Odubel Herrera "?" Thursday vs. San Francisco Giants ( Hamstring )<br />
[P] 04/23/2017 - Clay Buchholz 60-day DL (04/15) ( Forearm )<br />
[P] 06/23/2017 - Casey Fien 60-day DL (06/23) ( Shoulder )
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<b>GIANTS</b><br />
[P] 04/03/2017 - Will Smith 60-day DL (04/01) ( Elbow )<br />
[LF] 06/09/2017 - Michael Morse 10-day DL (06/08) ( Concussion )<br />
[3B] 07/02/2017 - Christian Arroyo 60-day DL (07/02) ( Finger )<br />
[RF] 07/09/2017 - Austin Slater 10-day DL (07/08) ( Groin )<br />
[P] 08/01/2017 - Johnny Cueto 10-day DL (07/15) ( Blister )<br />
[1B] 08/05/2017 - Brandon Belt 10-day DL (08/05) ( Concussion )<br />
[2B] 08/16/2017 - Joe Panik 7-day DL (08/16) ( Concussion )<br />
[3B] 08/12/2017 - Miguel Gomez 10-day DL (08/09) ( Knee )
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction
The Phillies have lost four in a row and six of their last seven games. They are coming off being swept in a three-game series against the Padres where they were outscored 18-8. Philadelphia has the worst record and fewest road wins in the Majors. The Giants have lost three of their last four games where their pitching has been less than stellar giving up a total of 24 runs in the three losses. They have the 2nd fewest wins in the Majors. Aaron Nola has been one of the bright sports for the Phillies this season and he has one loss and two no decisions in his last three road starts where he has not gotten much run support. He will have another good outing and while he will not get a lot of run support he will get a few runs and that is all he will need. The Phillies will win this game snapping their four-game skid and handing the Giants their 4th loss in their last five games.