Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline Pick

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline Pick

Cliff Knox
Date: September 1, 8:10 pm
Location: American Family Field
TV: MLBN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Phil -130/Mil +110
Total: 8

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Milwaukee Brewers, both contenders for the National League playoffs, will face off in a three-game series at Milwaukee's American Family Field on Friday night. The Brewers, leading the Central Division, will have Freddy Peralta on the mound, while the Phillies, leading in the wild-card race, will be relying on Zach Wheeler.

MLB Betting Odds

The initial odds for this game had Philadelphia and Wheeler as favorites, but early betting shifted the odds to favor the Phillies even more to -130.

Phillies-Brewers Betting Preview

Philadelphia recently won two out of three games against the Angels, narrowly missing a sweep in a high-scoring game. They have been performing well in their recent series, including sweeps against St. Louis and a strong showing against San Francisco. With a 74-59 record, the Phillies are leading the NL wild-card race.

On the other hand, Milwaukee faced a setback in a series against the Cubs, losing two out of three games. However, they've been on an impressive run, sweeping both San Diego and Minnesota. Holding a 74-59 record, the Brewers are leading the NL Central.

This will be the second meeting between these teams this season, with the Brewers having previously won two out of three games against the Phillies in July.

Friday's Pitching Match-Up

Freddy Peralta has been performing well recently, with solid outings in his last few starts. He's helped the Brewers to a 15-10 record when he's on the mound this season.

Zach Wheeler has also been putting in solid performances, with the Phillies winning 16 out of 26 games when he's started this year.

Splits With the Sticks

Philadelphia's batting has been strong against right-handed pitching, with a .260 batting average, a .330 on-base percentage, and a .432 slugging percentage. These numbers place them among the top five teams in this category.

In contrast, Milwaukee's batting has been less effective against right-handed pitchers, with a .233 batting average, a .314 on-base percentage, and a .373 slugging percentage. This places them among the bottom five teams in this split.

The Bullpens

Both teams have solid bullpens, with the Brewers bullpen owning a 3.71 ERA this season and the Phillies bullpen not far behind with a 3.75 ERA.

MLB Betting Trends

The Phillies have performed fairly evenly on the road, with a 33-33 record, while the Brewers have a strong home record of 38-27. Both teams have been successful against right-handed starters.

Totals Report

In terms of totals, the under has hit 64 times in Phillies games this season and 69 times in Brewers games. When playing at American Family Field, the over has hit 33 times.

Phillies at Brewers Free Pick 9/1/23

While Peralta holds a slight advantage in the pitching match-up, both teams have strengths. Milwaukee has a small edge in the bullpen comparison, but Philadelphia has a significant advantage in batting performance against right-handed pitchers. Additionally, recent winning streaks don't always guarantee future success, and Philadelphia's recent strong performances give them an added edge. Based on these factors, we're placing our bet on the Phillies for Friday night.

Free Pick: Take the Phillies -130
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