Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Odds & Predictions

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Odds & Predictions

Darin Zank
Date: May 9, 7:08 pm
Location: Truist Park
TV: MLBTV

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Phil -105/Atl -105
Runline: Phillies -1.5 +150/ Braves +1.5 -170
Total: 8un -120

<p>
After splitting the first two games of this NL East rivalry series, the Braves and Phillies meet for a rubber match Sunday night in the ATL. Philadelphia romped in the opener of this series Friday night and held a three-run lead late Saturday but blew it and lost. Huascar Ynoa and his 2.36 ERA hit the hill for Atlanta here against Aaron Nola and his 2.89 ERA for Philly. Who do we like here for our <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/free-mlb-picks&quot; title="Daily Free MLB Picks">free MLB pic</a>k?
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<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
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<p>
Sunday's <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/odds&quot; title="Live MLB Betting Lines">baseball betting odds</a> opened this game at right around a pick 'em, with an over/under of eight runs. Early betting action then dipped that total to 7.5.
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<h2>
Phillies-Braves MLB Betting Preview<br />
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<p>
Philadelphia took the opener of this series Friday night 12-2, but Atlanta bounced back to take Saturday's game 8-7 in 12 innings. The Braves actually trailed the Phillies Saturday 3-1 into the bottom of the ninth but tied the game on Pablo Sandoval's two-out, two-run, pinch-hit home run. Atlanta later trailed Philly 7-4 into the bottom of the 12th but won it with a four-run outburst. With Saturday's win, the Braves are 4-1 over their last five games. Meanwhile, Saturday's loss snapped a five-game winning streak for Philadelphia. At 18-16 overall, the Phillies are tied with the Mets for first place in the NL East, with 16-17 Atlanta a game and a half back. Philadelphia leads the season series with the Braves five games to three.
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<h2>
Sunday's Pitching Match-Up<br />
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<p>
<a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/256143&quot; title="Huascar Ynoa Pitching Logs">Ynoa</a> is 3/6 on quality starts this season, but he's actually been even better than that ratio might indicate. Tuesday, he held Washington to one unearned run and four hits through seven innings of a 6-1 Atlanta victory. And over his last three starts, he's allowed just two earned runs and ten hits through 18 1/3 innings, with five walks and 18 strikeouts. On the season, the Braves are 4-2 with Ynoa, and they should probably be a game better than that. In his only previous career start against Philadelphia, which came last year, Ynoa allowed one run through 2 1/3 innings of a 5-2 Atlanta win. <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/70094&quot; title="Aaron Nola Pitching Logs">Nola</a>, by our strict standards, is 3/7 on quality starts this season. Tuesday, he limited Milwaukee to one run and five hits through six innings, with ten strikeouts, in a 6-5 Phillies victory. And over his last four starts, he's allowed eight runs and 17 hits through 28 innings, with four walks and 31 whiffs. Philadelphia is 5-2 with Nola this season. Over his last three starts against the Braves, two last year, and one back on Opening Day of this season, Nola has allowed seven runs and 14 hits through 17 1/3 innings. The Phillies won two of those three games.
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<h2>
Splits With the Sticks<br />
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<p>
Philadelphia is batting .228 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .301 team OBP and a .371 team slugging percentage.
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<p>
Atlanta is batting .241/.332/.438 against right-handed pitching this season.
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<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1355921">PHI/ATL 5/9/21 Matchup Stats</a></span>
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</ul>
<p></section></p>
<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
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<p>
The Phillies bullpen owns a 5.03 ERA this season, sixth-worst in Baseball, along with a 1.41 WHIP.
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<p>
The Braves bullpen owns a 4.56 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP.
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<h2>
MLB Betting Trends<br />
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<p>
Philadelphia is 5-10 on the road this season.
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<h2>
Totals Report<br />
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<ul>
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Overs are 20-14 in Phillies games this season.
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Overs are 19-13 in Braves games this season.
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Overs are a combined 7-5 with Ynoa and Nola this season.
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Overs are 5-3 in Phillies-Braves games this season.
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Overs are 13-2 in games played at Truist Park this season.
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Phillies vs. Braves Prediction 5/9/21

We're calling this pitching match-up a wash, but we give Atlanta edges in both the splits with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. So we like the Braves here for our free MLB pick for Sunday.   

Free Pick: Take the Atlanta Braves -110
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