New York Mets at Miami Marlins Odds - Free MLB Pick
Betting Odds
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The 35-42 Miami Marlins will battle the 35-41 Miami Marlins in the 3rd game of a three-game set at Marlins Park in Miami, Florida tonight. The first pitch for the finale at Marlins Park is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET.
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The MLB betting boards show the host Marlins as -129 to -140 moneyline favorite over the Mets. The total line for the final of this three game series is set at 9 runs.
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In Game 2 of this series the Mets beat the Marlins 8-0. In the game the Mets scored eight runs on 10 hits and the Marlins were held scoreless on five hits.
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This season the Mets rank tied for 20th in the Majors in runs scored and 28th in team ERA.
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The Marlins rank tied for 18th in the Majors in runs scored and 19th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
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New York: Seth Lugo (2-1, 3.72 ERA)<br />
Miami: Jose Urena (6-2, 3.33 ERA)
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Seth Lugo takes the hill for this series finale and in his last start he went five innings and gave up four earned runs in a 11-4 win over the San Francisco Giants. He has gone 11 innings and given up seven earned runs in his last two starts and the Mets have won two of his last three outings. In three career appearances, including two starts, against Miami Lugo is 2-0 with an ERA of 3.55. This game will only be Lugo’s 4th start of the season missing much of the first half with an injury and overall New York has won nine of his last10 starts and they have won his last five starts on the road.
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Jose Urena gets the nod for the Marlins tonight and he is coming off a great last start where he did not give up any runs in six innings of work in 2-0 win over the Chicago White Sox. In his last three starts he has only given up a total of three earned runs and Miami has won six of his last seven starts. In Urena’s first two appearances of the season it was against the Mets in relief and when he joined the rotation his first start was against New York and it was a good one going six innings and not giving up any runs in a 7-0 Marlins win. In Urena’s career against the Mets he is 2-2 with an ERA of 3.30. While the Marlins are 4-0 in his last four starts at home they have lost five of his last six home starts against a team that has a losing record.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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The Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Mets.
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In the last 5 games between these teams in Miami the Under record is 3-1-1.
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This season the Marlins are 21-20 at home and the Mets are 18-19 on the road.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
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New York Mets: 35-42 SU / O/U 46-22 / Run Line W/L 33-44<br />
Miami Marlins: 35-41 SU / O/U 41-30 / Run Line W/L 38-38
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<h2>
New York at Miami Key Betting Trends<br />
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NYM is 4-1 in their last 5 overall
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NYM is 4-1 in their last 5 road games
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NYM has an Over record of 6-2-1 in their last 9 road games
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MIA is 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter
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MIA is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss
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MIA has an Under record of 4-0-1 in their last 5 games
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<h3>
Key Player Injuries<br />
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<b>METS</b><br />
[3B] 03/31/2017 - David Wright 60-day DL (03/30) ( Neck )<br />
[P] 05/12/2017 - Jeurys Familia 60-day DL (05/11) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 05/01/2017 - Noah Syndergaard 60-day DL (05/01) ( Side )<br />
[P] 06/21/2017 - Zack Wheeler 10-day DL (06/20) ( Bicep )<br />
[P] 06/23/2017 - Tommy Milone 60-day DL (05/22) ( Knee )<br />
[P] 06/28/2017 - Robert Gsellman 10-day DL ( Hamstring )<br />
[LF] 06/28/2017 - Michael Conforto "?" Thursday vs. Miami Marlins ( Hand )<br />
[P] 06/14/2017 - Josh Smoker 10-day DL (06/14) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 06/15/2017 - Matt Harvey 10-day DL (06/15) ( Arm )<br />
[2B] 06/15/2017 - Neil Walker 10-day DL (06/15) ( Hamstring )<br />
[CF] 06/16/2017 - Juan Lagares 10-day DL (06/16) ( Thumb )
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<b>MARLINS</b><br />
[P] 06/23/2017 - Brad Ziegler 10-day DL (06/21) ( Back )<br />
[P] 05/06/2017 - Wei-Yin Chen 10-day DL (05/02) ( Arm )<br />
[SS] 05/09/2017 - Miguel Rojas 60-day DL (05/09) ( Thumb )
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New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Prediction
The Mets have won four of their last five games and they are 11.5 games out of first place in the NL East and are only ½ game back of the Marlins. Their pitching has been the issue in the Big Apple on the season with all the injuries to their staff, but they have only given up a total of eight runs in their four wins in their last five games. The Marlins had their modest two-game win streak snapped with their loss to the Mets yesterday and in those two games they only gave up a total of five runs. Miami had also won four in a row at home over the Mets before the loss to them yesterday. Urena has been solid since joining the Marlins staff and he has pitched really well in his last few starts. Look for that to continue, as he will have another quality outing tonight. Conversely, Lugo will get knocked around for a few runs and in a game that will nto be a high scoring affair Miami will win and also win the series.