Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Picks - Betting Odds
Betting Odds
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The 4-5 Milwaukee Brewers travel to take on the 7-2 Cincinnati Reds in the first game of a four-game set in Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio tonight. The first pitch at Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET. The visiting Brewers are a -125 favorite over the hosting Reds with a total line of 9 runs.
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In their last game the Milwaukee Brewers beat the Toronto Blue Jays 2-0. They scored two runs on seven hits and held the Blue Jays scoreless on four hits. Milwaukee starter Chase Anderson went seven innings and did not allow any runs only allowing three hits in picking up the win.
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The Reds beat the Pittsburgh Pirates in their last game 9-2. In the blowout win Cincinnati scored nine runs on 15 hits and they held the Pirates to two runs on seven hits. Amir Garrett picked up his 2nd win of the season going six innings and allowing two earned runs on five hits.
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This season the Brewers rank 17th in the Majors in runs scored and 12th in team ERA.
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The Reds rank 3rd in the Majors in runs scored and 1st in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
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Milwaukee: Jimmy Nelson (0-0, 1.50 ERA)<br />
Cincinnati: Bronson Arroyo (0-1, 13.50 ERA)
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Jimmy Nelson gets the call for the Brewers in this opening NL Central game and he was solid in his first start of the season giving up one earned run in six innings and took a no-decision in a 2-1 win over the Chicago Cubs. He only has one win in his last seven starts. In his career facing the Reds (11 appearances 9 starts) Nelson is 3-3 with an ERA of 5.06. In Nelson’s last seven starts against the Reds the Over record is 6-0-1. The Brewers are only 6-16 in his last 22 starts overall and 3-9 in his last 12 road starts.
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Bronson Arroyo gets the nod for the Reds tonight and he was not good in his season debut giving up six earned runs in four innings of work in a 10-4 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals. He is back with the Reds after being with them from 2006-2013, but he missed the 2015 and 2016 seasons with Tommy John surgery. He is no stranger to facing Milwaukee and in his career he has more wins facing them (16) than any other team. In 31 career starts against the Brewers, and 34 appearances overall, Arroyo is 16-10 with an ERA of 3.54.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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The Reds are 7-3 in their last 10 games against the Brewers.
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In the last 25 games between these teams the Over record is 16-7-2.
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In the last 17 games between these teams in Cincinnati the Over record is 11-5-1.
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This season the Reds are 2-1 at home and the Brewers are 2-0 on the road.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
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Milwaukee Brewers: 4-5 SU / O/U 4-5 / Run Line W/L 5-4<br />
Cincinnati Reds: 7-2 SU / O/U 3-4 / Run Line W/L 7-2
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<h2>
Milwaukee at Cincinnati Key Betting Trends<br />
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MIL is 4-0 in their last 4 road games
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MIL is 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record
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MIL has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 road games
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CINCY is 4-0 in their last 4 overall
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CINCY is 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record
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CINCY has an Over record of 8-2 in their last 10 home games
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<h2>
Key Player Injuries<br />
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<b>BREWERS </b><br />
[C] 04/01/2017 - Andrew Susac 10-day DL (3/30) ( Trapezius )<br />
[P] 03/31/2017 - Matt Garza 10-day DL (3/31) ( Groin )<br />
[P] 04/03/2017 - Junior Guerra 10-day DL ( Calf )
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<b>REDS</b><br />
[P] 03/31/2017 - Homer Bailey 60-day DL ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 04/03/2017 - Nefi Ogando 10-day DL (3/30) ( Hand )<br />
[P] 04/12/2017 - Rookie Davis 10-day DL ( Forearm )<br />
[P] 04/02/2017 - Anthony DeSclafa 60-day DL (4/2) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 04/02/2017 - Austin Brice 10-day DL (4/2) ( Undisclosed )<br />
[P] 04/02/2017 - Nick Travieso 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )<br />
[C] 04/02/2017 - Devin Mesoraco 10-day DL (3/30) ( Hip )
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction
The Reds are hot winners of four in a row and rank in the top three in the Majors in runs scored and team ERA. Their pitching has been stellar as of late only giving up a total of five runs in their last four games. Their game previous to that they gave up 10 and that was with tonight’s starter Arroyo on the hill. The Brewers have to be the pick in this game, as Nelson had a solid season debut, but not much run support, and is facing a 40-year old Arroyo, who was tagged up in his first outing, which was his first after missing two whole seasons. Unlike his first start Nelson will get some run support with the Brew Crew bats getting to Arroyo and he will have another good outing, as Milwaukee will take the first game of this division series.